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Progreso River Plate betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

The match between Progreso and River Plate promises to be balanced, with both teams looking to play a safe game defensively. It's likely to be a tight encounter, with few clear-cut chances throughout the 90 minutes. Given this scenario, a bet of less than 2.5 goals could be an interesting choice.
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Preview
Progreso and River Plate face at Parque Abraham Paladino, in a match for the 7th round of the Primera División. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 2 wins and 1 loss in the last 3 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 09‑06‑2024, in a match for the Primera División, Progreso won by (1‑0). The only goal of the match was scored by Nicolás Fernández (14' ). In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis Progreso

The home team is currently in the 15th position of the league, with 1 point won, after 1 draw and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Nacional, by (1‑5). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Danubio, by (1‑1). This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 draws and 10 losses in away matches; against 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses at their stadium. Progreso has won 1, tied 4 and lost 5 of the last 10 home matches.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 4 matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in all of the last 4 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in all of the last 4 matches for this competition. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 14 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 4 of their 11 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Progreso come into this match under pressure, as they have yet to win and are showing worrying defensive frailties. The team needs to correct its errors in marking and improve its compactness to avoid conceding goals easily. Playing at home, the search for a positive result becomes even more essential, but this will require greater efficiency in offensive transitions. The challenge will be to balance the need to attack without exposing themselves defensively, something that has been a recurring problem. Facing an opponent also in poor form, Progreso see this game as an opportunity to recover.

Confirmed Lineup: N. Gentilio, Nicolás Olivera, C. Ordóñez, Facundo Silvera, Adrián Colombino, A. García, Agustín Pinheiro, Agustín Nahuel Moreira Morales, M. Viera, Nicolás Fernández, Matteo Copelotti.
Coach: C. Canobbio Bentaberry.

Analysis River Plate

The away team is currently in the 12th position of the league, with 2 points won, after 2 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Torque, by (2‑1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Peñarol, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 losses in away matches, with 14 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 25 conceded. In the last 10 away matches River Plate has won 3, tied 1 and lost 6.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 4 matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 4 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 3 of the last 4 matches for this competition. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 20 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 6 of their 16 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

River Plate, like their opponents, have yet to win and need to react if they are to leave the bottom of the table. The team has struggled to create play, which has limited their chances of scoring and compromised their results. To get a good result, it will be essential to improve their attacking accuracy and make better use of the chances they create. Despite their poor form, River Plate can benefit from Progreso's defensive frailties by exploiting the spaces they give up. If they strike a better balance between attack and defense, they can come away with a positive result.

Confirmed Lineup: Fabrizio Correa, Lucas Nahuel Camejo Berrondo, Christian Andrés Almeida Rodríguez, Facundo Damián Pérez Medina, Juan Quintana, Mauro Nahuel Estol Rodríguez, Guillermo Oroño Sire, Facundo de León, Inti López, Tiziano Correa, Juan Cruz de los Santos.
Coach: I. Ithurralde Sáez.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Progreso vs River Plate match, on 23 March 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Under 2,5 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Progreso vs River Plate on 23 March 2025 will be played at Montevideo, Parque Federico Omar Saroldi.

 

Primera División - 2025

  • 100% 300 / 300 Games

  • Home team wins 36.67%
  • Draws 34.33%
  • Away team wins 29%
  • Over 1.5 66.67%
  • Over 2.5 42.67%
  • Over 3.5 21.33%
  • Goals 696
  • Goals /match 2.32
  • Goals /match home 1.27
  • Goals /match away 1.05
  • Both teams score 48.33%
  • Goals after 80' 19.4%
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