PSV II Utrecht II betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This will be a clash between reserve teams who play in the Eerste Divisie only to train players for their senior squads. Jong PSV, who have the second-highest possession rate in the competition, are expected to dominate against Jong Utrecht, who have the third-worst possession rate and the worst record among Eerste Divisie 2024/2025 visitors. There is a considerable taboo at stake: Jong PSV haven't lost to Jong Utrecht since 14-02-20222. Since then there have been 4 wins for Jong PSV and 1 draw. Considering all this, we'll bet on the “Double Chance & Total Goals” market, more precisely on the “Jong PSV win or draw and Under 4.5 Goals” option, which has been the winning entry in the last 5 head-to-heads between the teams. It's worth noting that Jong Utrecht have conceded points in games with less than 5 goals to their opponents in 13 of their 18 away games.
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Preview
PSV II and Utrecht II meet at Sportcomplex De Herdgang, in a match for the 38th round of the Eerste Divisie. Jong PSV got an away win by (0‑2), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 16‑08‑2024. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 4 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 22‑04‑2024, in a match for the Eerste Divisie, Jong PSV won by (2‑0). The goals of the match were scored by J. Uneken (34' ) and M. Nassoh (73' ) for PSV II. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis PSV II

After 7 wins, 6 draws and 24 losses, the home team is in the 18th position, havinf won 27 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Excelsior by (5‑0), after in the previous match they have lost (0‑2) at home, against FC Eindhoven. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 3 draws and 11 losses in away matches, with 13 goals scored and 35 conceded; against 4 wins, 1 draw and 10 losses at their stadium, with 27 goals scored and 39 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches PSV II has a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses, so they have won 7 points out of 30 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 16 of the last 18 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 21 of their 37 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 18 home matches for this competition: they have scored 12 of their 30 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Jong PSV is a reserve team that plays in the Eerste Divisie just to give experience and train young players for the main squad of PSV Eindhoven, a club that competes in the Eredivisie and other elite competitions. Even so, it's shameful for the institution that Jong PSV have lost their last 3 games in the Eerste Divisie 2024/2025 and especially that they haven't won in 9 matches (1 draw and 8 defeats in that period). In fact, Jong PSV are the worst home side in the league (22.2% success rate after picking up 12 points from 18 games). The worst defense in the league (85 goals conceded in 35 games, or an average of 2.29 goals conceded per game) manages to perform even worse when they play specifically at home (47 goals conceded in total and a rate of 2.61 goals conceded per home game). Curiously, Jong PSV have the second highest possession rate in the competition (55.5%) and at the same time have the worst clean sheet record (they've finished just 3 games without conceding a goal). Coach Alfons Groenendijk could repeat his previous starting line-up, based on the 4-2-3-1 tactical formation, if the medical department allows the participation of right-back Euus Waayers and Israeli right-winger Tay Abed Kassus, who were injured in the last game. If they are ruled out, they are likely to be replaced again by Dantaye Gilbert and Ayodele Thomas. Left-back Wessel Kuhn has been out injured since 07-03-2025. Goalkeeper Niek Schiks stands out as the league's second-best defender (average of 4.7 saves per appearance), but he is also the league's third-lowest scorer (average of 2.04 goals conceded per match, conceding 49 goals in 24 games).

Confirmed Lineup: Tijn Smolenaars, Emmanuel van de Blaak, Muhlis Dağaşan, Eus Waayers, Jordy Bawuah, Tygo Land, Tim van den Heuvel, Dantaye Gilbert, Jesper Uneken, Emir Bars, Marcus Younis.
Coach: A. Groenendijk.

Analysis Utrecht II

The away team is currently in the 19th position of the league, with 23 points won, after 4 wins, 11 draws and 22 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against FC Volendam, by (2‑3). In the last match, they won in a home match against FC Dordrecht, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 3 draws and 11 losses in away matches, with 8 goals scored and 39 conceded; against 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 16 goals scored and 23 conceded. Their last away match for this competition ended in a loss by (5‑0) against MVV Maastricht. In the last 10 away league matches Utrecht II has a record of 1 win and 9 losses, so they have won 3 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 1‑0 (7 out of 18 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 17 of the last 18 matches for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 8 of the last 37 matches for the Eerste Divisie, they have reached half‑time in front in 5 of those 8 matches and have held on to the lead in 2. In 37 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 26 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

Jong Utrecht is a reserve team that plays in the Eerste Divisie only to provide experience and train young players for Utrecht's senior squad, which plays in the Eredivisie and other elite competitions. Even so, the fact that they have lost their last 5 away games and 9 of their 10 most recent away games (only 1 win in that period) is a nuisance for the club. They even have the worst away record in the Eerste Divisie 2024/2025 (10.84% after picking up 8 points from 18 games). Jong Utrecht have the worst attack (30 goals scored in 37 games, an average of 0.81 goals scored per game) and the second worst defense (79 goals conceded in all, an average of 2.13 goals conceded per game). Away from home, the performances are even worse (13 goals scored and 45 goals conceded with averages of 0.72 goals scored and 2.5 goals conceded per game). With the third worst possession rate in the league (44.9%), Jong Utrecht are the third worst shot-stoppers (10.8 shots per matchday) and, above all, the second team with the fewest shots on goal (3.9 shots per match). Defensively, they also have the second worst clean sheet record (they've only finished 4 games without conceding a goal). Coach Ivar van Dinteren will be able to repeat his previous starting line-up, based on the 4-3-3 tactical formation, as midfielder Noa Dundas has been ruled out through suspension due to the accumulation of five yellow cards, but is usually only an option on the bench. Right-back Ricksson van Hees and Moroccan midfielder Rafik El Arguioui are still out injured. Tom de Graaff will be looking to avoid finishing the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie as the goalkeeper with the most clean sheets (he averages 2.22 goals conceded per game, having conceded 49 goals in 22 matches).

Confirmed Lineup: Mees Yunfei Eppink, Nazjir Held, Wessel Kooy, Massien Ghaddari, Gibson Yah, Neal Roëll Viereck, Sil van der Wegen, Ivar Jenner, Mees Akkerman, Lynden Edhart, Georgios Charalampoglou.
Coach: I. van Dinteren.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the PSV II vs Utrecht II match, on 9 May 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Jong PSV win or draw and Under 4.5 Goals ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The PSV II vs Utrecht II on 9 May 2025 will be played at Eindhoven, Sportcomplex De Herdgang.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2024/2025

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 45.79%
  • Draws 23.16%
  • Away team wins 31.05%
  • Over 1.5 80.26%
  • Over 2.5 59.74%
  • Over 3.5 38.16%
  • Goals 1146
  • Goals /match 3.02
  • Goals /match home 1.7
  • Goals /match away 1.32
  • Both teams score 53.95%
  • Goals after 80' 17.89%
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