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MVV Utrecht II betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This will be a clash between teams that are just playing catch-up in this 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie. MVV have failed to win in their last 8 rounds, after 1 draw and 7 losses, while Jong Utrecht have failed to win in 9 games with 3 draws and 6 losses in that period. We will bet on Over 3.0 Asian Goals, a bet that has only been lost in 5 of the 17 matches played at MVV's stadium and in 7 of the 17 games that Jong Utrecht have played away from home.
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Preview
MVV and Utrecht II meet at De Geusselt, in a match for the 35th round of the Eerste Divisie. Jong Utrecht got a home win by (4‑3), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 04‑11‑2024. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history indicates total balance between these two teams, since there is a record of 2 wins for each team in the last 4 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium was on 19‑01‑2024, in a match for the Eerste Divisie, MVV Maastricht won by (3‑0). The goals of the match were scored by Bryan Smeets (87' and 25' ) and Dailon Rocha Livramento (50' ) for MVV. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis MVV

After 8 wins, 10 draws and 16 losses, the home team is in the 14th position, havinf won 34 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Jong PSV by (3‑2), after in the previous match they have lost (1‑2) at home, against Excelsior. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 4 draws and 10 losses in away matches; against 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home league matches MVV has a record of 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, so they have won 16 points out of 30 possible.

They have lost the last 4 home matches for this competition. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 12 of the last 17 for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 34 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 20 times and have only turned the score around in 3.

MVV no longer has a chance of qualifying for the access playoffs and now only has to play until the end of this 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie as a way of preparing for the next season. The team has not managed to win in the last 8 rounds (1 draw and 7 losses recorded in the period). Specifically at its stadium, MVV has lost the most recent 4 matches. Interestingly, the team is the best dispossessor in the league (an average of 21.1 tackles made per match). Coach Edwin Hermans may repeat the previous starting lineup, based on the 4-3-3 tactical formation, as his absences continue to be right winger Camil Mmaee and left winger Ilano Silva TImas, both injured. The star of the MVV squad is Belgian Romain Matthys, the third goalkeeper who makes the most saves in the championship (an index of 4.5 saves made per match).

Confirmed Lineup: Romain Matthys, Tim Zeegers, Simon Francis, Lars Schenk, Wout Coomans, Robert Klaasen, Bryan Smeets, Marko Kleinen, Robyn Esajas, Sven Braken, Rayan Buifrahi.
Coach: K. Wels.

Analysis Utrecht II

The away team is currently in the 19th position of the league, with 20 points won, after 3 wins, 11 draws and 20 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against ADO Den Haag, by (1‑1). In the last match, they lost in an away match against SC Cambuur, by (3‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 4 draws and 10 losses in away matches, with 9 goals scored and 35 conceded; against 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses at their stadium, with 13 goals scored and 27 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Utrecht II has a record of 1 win, 1 draw and 8 losses, so they have won 4 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 1‑0 (7 out of 17 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 16 of the last 17 matches for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 7 of the last 34 matches for the Eerste Divisie, they have reached half‑time in front in 5 of those 7 matches and have held on to the lead in 1. In 34 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 24 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

Jong Utrecht is a reserve team that plays in the Eerste Divisie with the sole purpose of providing experience to young players who are being prepared for the main squad of Utrecht that competes in the Eredivisie and other elite competitions. Even so, it is shameful for the club that it has not managed to win in the last 9 rounds valid for the Eerste Divisie 2024/2025 (3 draws and 6 defeats recorded in the period). Specifically away from home, Jong Utrecht has lost the most recent 4 games. As a result, the team is the worst away team in the league (15% success rate after winning 8 points in 17 matches). Jong Utrecht has the second worst attack (27 goals scored in total, that is, an average of 0.7 goals scored per round) and also the second worst defense in the competition (71 goals conceded and a rate of more than 2 goals conceded per match). The away performance is even worse (13 goals scored and 40 goals conceded, that is, an average of 0.7 goals scored and 2.3 goals conceded per away performance). Jong Utrecht has the second worst possession in the league (45%) and has become the second worst finisher (an average of 10.8 shots) and also the second team that has the fewest shots on goal (3.9 shots on goal per round). Defensively, it has the worst clean sheet record (it has kept only 3 clean sheets). Coach Ivar van Dinteren is expected to change the previous starting lineup, based on the 4-1-4-1 tactical scheme, as wingers Mees Akkerman and Miliano Jonathans are available again after serving suspensions. Right-back Ricksson van Hees and Moroccan midfielder Rafik El Arguioui are injured. Jonathans is expected to start as he is the standout player in the squad (having scored 11 goals and provided 4 assists in 20 appearances). Kevin Gadellaa is also expected to remain as the starting goalkeeper as Tom de Graaff is the second-best goalkeeper in the league (averaging 2.2 goals conceded per appearance as he has conceded 44 goals in 20 matches).

Confirmed Lineup: Tom Gerard de Graaff, Massien Ghaddari, Neal Roëll Viereck, Wessel Kooy, Nazjir Held, Sil van der Wegen, Gibson Yah, Ivar Jenner, Lynden Edhart, Georgios Charalampoglou, Mees Akkerman.
Coach: I. van Dinteren.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the MVV vs Utrecht II match, on 18 April 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Handicap, Over 3 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The MVV vs Utrecht II on 18 April 2025 will be played at Maastricht, De Geusselt.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2024/2025

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 45.79%
  • Draws 23.16%
  • Away team wins 31.05%
  • Over 1.5 80.26%
  • Over 2.5 59.74%
  • Over 3.5 38.16%
  • Goals 1146
  • Goals /match 3.02
  • Goals /match home 1.7
  • Goals /match away 1.32
  • Both teams score 53.95%
  • Goals after 80' 17.89%
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