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Dordrecht MVV betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This will be a match that only matters to the home side, as Dordrecht are in the promotion playoff zone and, with a win, can still dream of finishing runners-up in the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie to secure direct promotion to the Eredivisie next season. The team stands out in the league as the only side yet to lose at home, boasting the second-best home attack and the third-best home defence. MVV, meanwhile, are merely fulfilling fixtures, with no chance of fighting for promotion. Given this context, we will back Dordrecht on the Asian Handicap -0.75, also listed by some bookmakers as "Asian Handicap -0.5, -1.0", meaning the bet will be fully won if the hosts win by at least two goals and half-won if Dordrecht win by exactly one goal. It's worth noting that the home side have won 10 of their 17 home matches, 8 of them by a margin of at least two goals. MVV, on the other hand, have lost 10 of their 17 away fixtures.
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Preview
Dordrecht and MVV meet at Riwal Hoogwerkers Stadion, in a match for the 36th round of the Eerste Divisie. MVV Maastricht got a home win by (2‑1), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 22‑11‑2024. The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 2, tied 1 and lost 1. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Eerste Divisie, played on 25‑08‑2023, they tied (2‑2). Mathis Suray (69' and 70' ) scored for Dordrecht and Bryan Smeets (12' ) and Koen Kostons (85' ) for MVV. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis Dordrecht

The home team is currently in the 4th position of the league, with 62 points won, after 18 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against FC Den Bosch, by (4‑0). In the last match, they lost in an away match against TOP Oss, by (2‑0). This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins and 8 losses in away matches; against 9 wins and 6 draws at their stadium. For the league, Dordrecht won 22 points out of 30 possible points, after 6 wins and 4 draws in the last 10 home matches.

They have won the last 5 home matches and haven't lost any of the last 17 home matches for this competition. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 1‑0 (8 out of 17 matches). Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 17 of the last 17 matches for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 35 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 16 times and have only turned the score around in 4.

Dordrecht are currently in the promotion play-off zone, but they must win to keep alive their hopes of finishing as runners-up in the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie and thus securing direct promotion to the Eredivisie next season. The team are the only side yet to suffer a home defeat and have just two matches left to confirm their unbeaten record at home (with 10 wins and 7 draws so far). With that record, Dordrecht stand out as having the second-best home attack (42 goals scored in 17 appearances, averaging 2.4 goals per game at home). What’s more, they boast the third-best home defence (16 goals conceded overall, an average of 0.9 per game at their stadium). Overall, Dordrecht are notable for being the third-best team in the league in terms of tackles made (averaging 19.1 per game) and also rank third in clean sheets (12 matches without conceding). Manager Melvin Boel is expected to repeat his previous starting eleven, set up in a 4-2-3-1 system, as his only absentee remains the Italian left-back Lorenzo Codutti, who has been sidelined since 07-03-2025. That said, he is usually a back-up to American John Hilton, the standout performer in Dordrecht’s squad and the third-best tackler in the league (averaging 3.6 tackles per match).

Confirmed Lineup: Mannou Berger, Augustin Drakpe, John Hilton, Sem Valk, Y. M'Bemba, Jari Schuurman, Daniël van Vianen, Gabriele Parlanti, Devin Haen, Jaden Fernando Slory, V. Kotzebue.
Coach: M. Boel.

Analysis MVV

The away team is currently in the 15th position of the league, with 37 points won, after 9 wins, 10 draws and 16 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Jong PSV, by (3‑2). In the last match, they won in a home match against Jong Utrecht, by (5‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 4 draws and 10 losses in away matches, with 13 goals scored and 30 conceded; against 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 31 goals scored and 20 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches MVV has a record of 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses, so they have won 6 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches there are a few frequent results at half‑time: 0‑0 (6 out of 17 matches) and 1‑0 (6 out of 17 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 35 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 20 times and have only turned the score around in 3. In the last 17 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 11 of their 31 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

MVV are merely fulfilling fixtures in this final stretch of the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie, as they no longer have a chance of fighting for promotion. In what will be their penultimate away outing, the team will look to end a poor run on the road, having failed to win any of their last 8 away games (with 2 draws and 6 defeats during that period). In fact, MVV are the second-worst away side in the league (17% success rate after earning just 9 points from 17 away matches) and also have the third-lowest goal tally on the road (14 goals in total, averaging 0.8 per match). To offset that, the team stands out as the league’s top tackling side (averaging 21.1 tackles per round). Manager Edwin Hermans is expected to name an unchanged starting eleven, in a 4-3-3 formation, as the absentees remain right winger Camil Mmaee and left winger Ilano Silva Timas, who have both been out since March. The standout performer in MVV’s squad is Belgian goalkeeper Romain Matthys, who ranks as the third-busiest shot-stopper in the competition (averaging 4.5 saves per game).

Confirmed Lineup: Romain Matthys, Tim Zeegers, Djairo Tehubyuluw, Wout Coomans, Simon Francis, Marko Kleinen, Robert Klaasen, Bryan Smeets, Rayan Buifrahi, Sven Braken, Robyn Esajas.
Coach: K. Wels.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Dordrecht vs MVV match, on 25 April 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Asian Handicap Dordrecht -0.75 ⇒ bet available on 1xbet.

The Dordrecht vs MVV on 25 April 2025 will be played at Dordrecht, Riwal Hoogwerkers Stadion.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2024/2025

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 45.79%
  • Draws 23.16%
  • Away team wins 31.05%
  • Over 1.5 80.26%
  • Over 2.5 59.74%
  • Over 3.5 38.16%
  • Goals 1146
  • Goals /match 3.02
  • Goals /match home 1.7
  • Goals /match away 1.32
  • Both teams score 53.95%
  • Goals after 80' 17.89%
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