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AZ II Helmond Sport betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This match for the 11th round of the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie will feature a duel between the best home attack and the second best away defense. Jong AZ has the highest average possession in the league, but Helmond is the team that shoots the most on goal. Therefore, we expect a good exhibition match, with several goal opportunities and that is why we will bet on Over 2.75 Asian Goals in this match. It is worth considering that this line has been completely beaten in 4 of Jong AZ's 5 home games and also in Helmond's last 2 away games, in addition to the most recent head-to-head, on 11-03-2024, when Helmond won, at home, by (3-1) against Jong AZ.
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Preview
AZ II and Helmond meet at AFAS Trainingscomplex, in a match for the 11th round of the Eerste Divisie. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 5 head‑to‑heads they won 2, tied 2 and lost 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Eerste Divisie, on 10‑11‑2023, Jong AZ won by (2‑1). Jurre van Aken (44' ) and Finn Stam (7' ) scored for AZ II and Hakon Lorentzen (1' ) for Helmond. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 12th and 2nd of the league table, it’s also a match between the 6th best team in home matches and the 2nd best in away matches.

Analysis AZ II

After 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, the home team is in the 12th position, havinf won 11 points so far. In the last match, they have lost at home against FC Eindhoven by (2‑3), after in the previous match they have lost (4‑2) an away match against Excelsior. This is a team that usually plays better at home, where they have won 7 points, against only 4 points in away matches. For the league, AZ II won 7 points out of 15 possible points, after 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in the last 5 home matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 9 matches for this competition. In 9 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have only turned the score around in 1. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 6 home matches for all competitions: they have suffered 3 of their 8 goals between minutes (46'‑60').

Jong AZ plays in the Eerste Divisie just to give experience to players who will later be used in AZ Alkmaar's main squad in the Eredivisie. Even so, the team is looking to recover, as it has gone 3 rounds without a win, after 1 draw and 2 losses. Interestingly, Jong AZ has the most possession in the league (with an average of 59.3% per round), but at the same time has the second worst defense, with 19 goals conceded in 9 rounds. Offensively, it has the second best attack among the home teams, with 13 goals scored in 5 home matches. Coach LeeRoy Echteld has no known absences and may even repeat the previous lineup, based on the 4-2-3-1 tactical scheme, with a highlight on right-back Elijah Dijkstra, one of the second-leading assist providers in the competition, with 4 assists in 9 matches played. On the other hand, it is worrying that Daniel Deen is the goalkeeper who conceded the most goals in the championship, with an average of exactly 3 goals conceded per game, as he has conceded 15 goals in 5 games played.

Confirmed Lineup: Daniel Deen, Elijah Dijkstra, Billy van Duijl, Joeri Oud, Jeremiah Esajas, Kees Smit, Enoch Mayele Kiemba Mastoras, Job Kalisvaart, Ro-Zangelo Daal, Yoël van den Ban, Jayen Gerold.
Coach: M. Vonk.

Analysis Helmond

The away team is currently in the 2nd position of the league, with 18 points won, after 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Jong PSV, by (1‑3). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Jong Ajax, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 10 points in away matches and 8 at their stadium, with 8 goals scored and 5 goals conceded at home, against 7 goals scored and 3 goals conceded in away matches. In the last 4 away league matches Helmond has a record of 3 wins and 1 draw, so they have won 10 points out of 12 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 4 away matches. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 9 matches for this competition. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 7 of the last 9 matches for the Eerste Divisie, they have reached half‑time in front in 4 of those 7 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 5 of them.

Helmond are fighting for the top spot in the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie and are counting on their great away performance, which has earned them the title of best away team in the league with 10 points won in 4 away games. The club has a great balance, as they have the second-best defense in the league, conceding only 8 goals, 3 of which occurred in 4 away games, and they have also become the best goal scorer with a rate of 6.6 shots on target per game. Coach Kevin Hofland will have to make changes to his starting lineup, usually based on the 4-2-3-1 tactical scheme, as he will not be able to count on Moroccan defender Redouane Halhal, who was sent off with a straight red card in the previous match. Goalkeeper and captain Wouter Van der Steen is one of the standout players in the squad, and is the second-best in clean sheets and third-best in goals conceded, having gone 4 entire games without conceding a goal and an average of 0.9 goals conceded per game.

Confirmed Lineup: Wouter Van der Steen, Amir Absalem, Jonas Scholz, Tobias Pachonik, Redouane Halhal, E. Ostrc, Alen Dizdarević, Théo Golliard, Dario Sits, Mohamed Mallahi, Lennerd Daneels.
Coach: R. Maaskant.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the AZ II vs Helmond match, on 18 October 2024, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Asian (Over/Under) Total of Goals, Over 2.75 Goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The AZ II vs Helmond on 18 October 2024 will be played at Wijdewormer, AFAS Trainingscomplex.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2024/2025

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 45.79%
  • Draws 23.16%
  • Away team wins 31.05%
  • Over 1.5 80.26%
  • Over 2.5 59.74%
  • Over 3.5 38.16%
  • Goals 1146
  • Goals /match 3.02
  • Goals /match home 1.7
  • Goals /match away 1.32
  • Both teams score 53.95%
  • Goals after 80' 17.89%
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