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Mainz 05 Bayer Leverkusen betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this match will be several goals. It's true that the game should be led by Leverkusen, but Mainz 05 have been putting on good footballing shows, with dangerous situations coming easily. So expect an open game, with plenty of chances to score from both sides.
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Preview
Mainz 05 and Leverkusen face , in a match for the 7th round of the Bundesliga. The recent head‑to‑head record favours the away team, since they have a record of 4 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in the last 7 matches. The last head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 17‑05‑2025, and ended in a draw by (2‑2). In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis Mainz 05

After 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses, the home team is in the 16th position, havinf won 4 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Hamburger SV by (4‑0), after in the previous match they have lost (0‑2) at home, against Borussia Dortmund. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in away matches, with 28 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 22 goals scored and 14 conceded. In the last 10 home matches Mainz 05 has won 2, tied 5 and lost 3. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in all of the last 6 matches for this competition. 12 of their last 19 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals, so there is a tendency for few goals in their home matches. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 19 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 9 of their 22 goals between minutes (31'‑45').

Mainz 05 go into this match unmotivated after a 4-0 defeat at Hamburg. The home side usually play in a 3-4-3 formation, where the three most advanced players are Benedict Hollerbach, Paul Nebel and Jae-sung Lee. Nadiem Amiri, Arnaud Nordin, Phillipp Mwene and Kaishu Sano are likely to line up in the centre of the pitch, with the former playing a more attacking role. When he goes on the offensive, he usually does so via the right flank, taking advantage of the depth provided by centre-back Danny da Costa. Out of the game is Robin Zentner, who has been punished, as well as the injured Maxim Leitsch and Anthony Caci.

Confirmed Lineup: Lasse Rieß, Stefan Bell, Phillipp Mwene, Dominik Kohr, Nikolas Veratschnig, Danny da Costa, Paul Nebel, Kaishu Sano, Jae-sung Lee, Nadiem Amiri, Benedict Hollerbach .
Coach: B. Henriksen.

Analysis Leverkusen

The away team is currently in the 5th position of the league, with 11 points won, after 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against St. Pauli, by (1‑2). In the last match, they won in a home match against FC Union Berlin, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 30 goals scored and 22 conceded; against 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 24 goals scored and 17 conceded. In the last 10 away matches Leverkusen has won 4, tied 5 and lost 1. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 5 of the last 6 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 6 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 23 of the last 26 matches have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Leverkusen go into this game motivated after a 2-0 win at Union Berlin: the team's goals were scored by Christian Kofane and Ernest Poku. The visitors usually play in a 3-4-3 formation, favouring a slower style of play and generally attacking through the central corridor. The three arrows aimed at the enemy's goal will be Malik Tillman, Christian Kofane and Ernest Poku, and the player responsible for setting up and leading his team's attacks is midfielder Aleix García. Out of the game are Patrik Schick and Axel Tape, both injured.

Confirmed Lineup: Mark Flekken, Alejandro Grimaldo, Edmond Tapsoba, Loïc Badé , Arthur, Aleix García, Ezequiel Fernández, Jonas Hofmann , Robert Andrich, Ernest Poku, Christian Kofane.
Coach: G. Seoane.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Mainz 05 vs Leverkusen match, on 18 October 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Over 2,5 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Online Betting Academy, for the Mainz 05 Leverkusen match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Leverkusen at with 93% of the tips.

 

Bundesliga - 2025/2026

  • 20% 61 / 306 Games

  • Home team wins 40.98%
  • Draws 19.67%
  • Away team wins 39.34%
  • Over 1.5 81.97%
  • Over 2.5 63.93%
  • Over 3.5 42.62%
  • Goals 201
  • Goals /match 3.3
  • Goals /match home 1.72
  • Goals /match away 1.57
  • Both teams score 57.38%
  • Goals after 80' 18.41%
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