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FCI Levadia Paide betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

In this game, “less than 2.5 goals” is likely. An analysis of the last few matches shows that they are generally evenly matched, with a strong defensive presence on both sides - in fact, 5 of Paide's last 7 matches have ended with fewer than 2.5 goals, and Levadia's defense has performed consistently even against tough opposition. The scenario points to a duel locked in midfield and few clear-cut chances, which reinforces the tendency for a low score in this round. Therefore, for this leaders' duel, we suggest “less than 2.5 goals” as a value bet.
 
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Preview
Levadia and Paide meet at A. Le Coq Arena, in a match for the 12th round of the Meistriliiga. Paide got a home win by (2‑1), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 23‑04‑2025. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 6 wins and 1 loss in the last 7 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 25‑05‑2024, in a match for the Cup, Levadia won by (4‑2). The goals of the match were scored by Mihkel Ainsalu (48' ), Michael Schjönning‑Larsen (82' ), A. Yusif (55' Autogolo) and João Pedro (73' ), for Levadia, and by Robi Saarma (12' ) and Thomas Agyepong (35' ), for Paide. Although this is a match between 1st and 3rd of the league table, it’s actually a match between the 2nd best in home matches and the 7th best in away matches.

Analysis Levadia

The home team is currently in the 1st position of the league, with 25 points won, after 8 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Tammeka, by (4‑0). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Nõmme Kalju, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since they have won 12 points in away matches, with 16 goals scored and 7 conceded, against 13 points won at their stadium, with 13 goals scored and 2 conceded. For the league, Levadia won 13 points out of 15 possible points, after 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 home matches.

In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 5 home matches. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition.

Levadia Tallinn head into the 12th round of the Premium Liiga in first place, a performance backed up by a solid campaign: 11 games, 8 wins, 1 draw and only 2 defeats, with a significant goal difference of +20 thanks to 29 goals scored and only 9 conceded. The coach opts for attacking soccer, with quick transitions and a system that values possession, exploiting the sides of the pitch well and relying on well-coordinated attacks to open up opposition defenses. Levadia show good defensive compactness, the ability to recover quickly after losing the ball and have been efficient in constructing moves, making the team very consistent both at home and away. Despite the most recent setback against Kalju (2-0), the team has played some good games, showing that their tactical patterns are still well defined and competitive, which raises expectations for them to pick up another three points and stay at the top of the competition.
 

Confirmed Lineup: Karl Vallner, Edgar Tur, Brent Lepistu, Rasmus Peetson, Michael Schjonning-Larsen, Richie Musaba, Mihkel Ainsalu, Alexandre Lopes Gomes, Ahmad Gero, Enock Kofi Otoo, Ernest Agyiri.
Coach: C. Torres Ruíz.

Analysis Paide

The away team is currently in the 3rd position of the league, with 21 points won, after 7 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Tallinna Kalev, by (1‑0). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Kuressaare, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 6 points in away matches and 15 points at their stadium, with 14 goals scored and 2 goals conceded at home, against 4 goals scored and 5 conceded in away matches. In the last 5 away league matches Paide has a record of 2 wins and 3 losses, so they have won 6 points out of 15 possible. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 11 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

Paide Linnameeskond visit leaders Levadia in 4th place, also with 11 games to play, with 7 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats, a goal difference of +11 and a solid defense with only 7 goals conceded. Paide's style of play prioritizes strong marking and compact lines, betting on quick transitions to surprise the opposition on counter-attacks. The coach tends to set up a balanced formation, which closes up well at the back and looks to attack efficiently when opportunities arise. Despite recent fluctuations in results, Paide beat Levadia themselves a few weeks ago, showing that they can compete on equal terms with the tournament favorites. However, they still struggle to maintain consistency throughout the 90 minutes, oscillating between moments of great tactical application and occasional defensive inattention. In domestic competition, Paide remain firmly in the hunt for a top-four finish, but they know that scoring away from home is crucial if they are to remain in contention for the top positions in the league.
 

Confirmed Lineup: Ebrima Jarju, Milan Delević, Joseph Saliste, Nikita Baranov, Martin Miller, Luqman Gilmore, Oskar Hõim, Robi Saarma, Mouhamed Gueye, Siim Luts, Henrik Ojamaa.
Coach: K. Voolaid.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Levadia vs Paide match, on 11 May 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Under 2,5 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Levadia vs Paide on 11 May 2025 will be played at Tallinn, A. Le Coq Arena.

 

Meistriliiga - 2025

  • 71% 129 / 181 Games

  • Home team wins 48.84%
  • Draws 10.85%
  • Away team wins 40.31%
  • Over 1.5 82.95%
  • Over 2.5 68.22%
  • Over 3.5 37.98%
  • Goals 414
  • Goals /match 3.21
  • Goals /match home 1.77
  • Goals /match away 1.44
  • Both teams score 54.26%
  • Goals after 80' 14.25%
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