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Emelec Libertad betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

In the match between Emelec and Libertad, betting on Emelec to win seems to be the best bet. The team urgently needs a win to move away from the bottom of the table and, playing at home, should adopt an attacking stance to seek the three points. Libertad, despite a relatively positive moment, is coming off a home defeat and may have difficulty asserting itself away from home. Emelec, with the support of its fans, has a better chance of winning this match.
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Preview
Emelec and Libertad meet at Estadio Banco del Pacífico, in a match for the 8th round of the Liga Pro. The head‑to‑head history indicates total balance, since there is a record of 2 draws and 1 win for each team in the last 4 matches. The last head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 30‑11‑2024, and ended in a (2‑1) win by Libertad. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis Emelec

The home team is currently in the 15th position of the league, with 6 points won, after 1 win, 3 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Mushuc Runa, by (1‑1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Manta, by (1‑1). This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 3 draws and 11 losses in away matches; against 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses at their stadium. In the last 4 home league matches Emelec has a record of 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 5 points out of 12 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 5 of the last 7 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 8 of the last 16 have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 10 of their 15 matches, and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 16 home matches for all competitions there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 6 of their 14 goals between minutes (46'‑60'); they have conceded 5 of their 14 goals between minutes (31'‑45').

Obviously, Emelec is hoping to have a more positive situation in this season of the Ecuadorian Championship. The team has not had a great campaign and has been trying to move away from the bottom of the standings. Needing to win this round, it is crucial that they bet on an offensive strategy in this duel against the Libertad team, which is coming off a home defeat to El Nacional.

Confirmed Lineup: Pedro Ortiz, Romario Caicedo, J. Rodríguez Perlaza, Diogo Osmar Bagüí Tobar, Alexander González, Joao Quiñonez Araujo, Marcelo Meli, Elkin Israel Muñoz Calderón, Maicon Solis, Washington Corozo, Facundo Castelli.
Coach: H. Torres Oliveros.

Analysis Libertad

The away team is currently in the 6th position of the league, with 11 points won, after 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Manta, by (1‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against El Nacional, by (1‑3). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 13 goals scored and 22 conceded; against 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 23 goals scored and 21 conceded. In the last 10 away matches Libertad has won 3, tied 4 and lost 3. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 5 of the last 7 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 7 matches for this competition. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

Despite the recent defeat at home, Libertad is enjoying a more positive moment in this season of the Ecuadorian Championship. This may put them as slight favorites over their opponents, but they will need to know how to deal with this factor in the best possible way. Without getting complacent, it is time to focus on a great performance to seek an immediate reaction, since the priority is to stay close to the top of the league table.

Confirmed Lineup: Eduardo David Bores Díaz, Wagner Yardel Bardales Tenorio, Orlin Quinonez, Kevin Becerra Wila, Ronny Biojo, Ivan Zambrano, Joaquín Vergés Collazo, Jean Montano, Angel Quiñonez Guerrero, Wilter Ayoví Mina, Eber Caicedo Peralta.
Coach: A. Vélez Ordoñez.

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Liga Pro - 2025

  • 45% 108 / 240 Games

  • Home team wins 43.52%
  • Draws 28.7%
  • Away team wins 27.78%
  • Over 1.5 72.22%
  • Over 2.5 45.37%
  • Over 3.5 26.85%
  • Goals 272
  • Goals /match 2.52
  • Goals /match home 1.44
  • Goals /match away 1.08
  • Both teams score 54.63%
  • Goals after 80' 16.54%
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