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Emelec El Nacional betting prediction


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Statistic analysis:

Emelec and El Nacional face at Estadio Banco del Pacífico, in a match for this stage of the Liga Pro (Serie A, Qualifying Round). At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the away team, since they have a record of 2 wins and 1 loss in the last 3 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 21‑09‑2025, in a match for the Liga Pro, Emelec won by (4‑0). The goals of the match were scored by José Francisco Cevallos Enríquez (3' , 3' , 3' , 3' , 80' , 3' , 3' , 3' , 3' , 3' , 3' , 3' , 3' , 3' , 80' , 80' , 3' , 3' , 3' , 80' , 80' , 3' , 80' , 3' , 3' , 3' , 80' , 3' , 3' , 3' , 80' , 3' , 3' , 3' , 3' , 3' , 3' , 3' , 3' , 3' , 3' , 3' , 3' , 3' , 3' , 3' , 3' , 3' , 80' , 3' , 3' and 3' ), Jaime Javier Ayoví Corozo (41' , 41' , 41' , 41' , 41' , 41' , 41' , 41' , 41' , 41' , 41' , 41' , 41' , 41' , 41' , 41' , 41' , 41' , 41' , 41' , 41' , 41' , 41' , 41' , 41' , 41' , 41' , 41' , 41' , 41' , 41' , 41' , 41' , 41' and 41' ) and J. Cuero (83' , 83' , 83' , 83' , 83' , 83' and 83' ) for Emelec. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis Emelec

The home team is currently in the 4th position of the league, with 10 points won, after 14 wins, 10 draws and 14 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Delfin, by (0‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Macará, by (0‑2). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 15 goals scored and 18 conceded; against 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 16 goals scored and 16 conceded. For the league, Emelec won 16 points out of 30 possible points, after 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 10 home matches. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (7 out of 19 matches). In their home matches for this competition there is a tendency for few goals, since 14 of the last 19 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 38 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 16 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 19 home matches for this competition there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 44 of their 108 goals between minutes (0'‑15') and 44 of their 108 goals between (31'‑45').

Confirmed Lineup: Pedro Alfredo Ortíz Angulo, Diogo Osmar Bagüí Tobar, Romario Javier Caicedo Ante, J. Castillo, Luis Fernando León Bermeo, Sergio Saúl Quintero Chavez, Roberto Daniel Garcés Salazar, Adrian Cortez, José Francisco Cevallos Enríquez, Maicon Stiven Solís Arroyo, Luis Jorge Fragozo Castrillon.
Coach: H. Torres Oliveros.

Analysis El Nacional

The away team is currently in the 3rd position of the league, with 11 points won, after 12 wins, 10 draws and 16 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Macará, by (2‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against Aucas, by (3‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 17 goals scored and 28 conceded; against 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 24 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches El Nacional has a record of 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 9 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (7 out of 19 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 38 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 20 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 19 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 49 of their 125 goals between minutes (0'‑15').

Confirmed Lineup: Leodan Chalá, Rommel Cabezas, Juan Puente, Bryan Rivera, José Flor, Adrian Cela, Andrés Mena, Charles Vélez, Djorkaeff Reasco, Jeison Chalá, Fricson Borja.
Coach: E. Almeida Almada.

NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.
Frequently asked questions

The Emelec vs El Nacional on 16 December 2025 will be played at Guayaquil, Estadio Banco del Pacífico.

 

Liga Pro - 2025

  • 98% 306 / 312 Games

  • Home team wins 40.52%
  • Draws 29.41%
  • Away team wins 30.07%
  • Over 1.5 72.88%
  • Over 2.5 45.75%
  • Over 3.5 26.14%
  • Goals 777
  • Goals /match 2.54
  • Goals /match home 1.4
  • Goals /match away 1.14
  • Both teams score 52.29%
  • Goals after 80' 22.27%
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