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Palmeiras Vasco da Gama betting prediction



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Betting suggestion:

Palmeiras have been showing more consistent football at home and, against Vasco da Gama, are expected to impose their rhythm from the start. The visiting team have shown defensive weaknesses, which can be exploited by Palmeiras to secure all three points. Therefore, backing a Palmeiras win in the first half is a choice that makes sense considering the recent performances of both teams.
 
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Preview
Palmeiras and Vasco meet at Allianz Parque, in a match for the 26th round of the Serie A. Palmeiras got an away win by (0‑1), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 04‑05‑2025. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 3 head‑to‑heads they won 2 and tied 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Serie A, on 14‑06‑2024, Palmeiras won by (2‑0). Joaquín Piquerez (26' ) and Rony (56' ) scored the goals of the match for Palmeiras. Vasco registers significant differences between home and away results, so special attention is due to the home/away factor.

Analysis Palmeiras

The home team is currently in the 3rd position of the league, with 49 points won, after 15 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Fortaleza, by (4‑1). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Bahia, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 24 goals scored and 14 conceded; against 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 30 goals scored and 11 conceded. For the league, Palmeiras won 22 points out of 30 possible points, after 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in the last 10 home matches.

In this competition, they have a sequence of 6 wins in the last home matches and they haven't lost any of the last 7 home matches. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (6 out of 12 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 23 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times, but have turned the score around in 3.

Palmeiras remain among the leaders of the Brazilian Championship, sitting 3rd with 49 points from 23 games, the result of 15 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats. The team have shown balance between attack and defence, scoring 36 goals and conceding only 19, which indicates a well-organised and efficient side. Playing at home, Palmeiras usually impose their rhythm, pressing the opposition and exploiting attacking moves with skilful and fast players. For this match, the team are expected to maintain their attacking style and look for the win to stay firmly in the title race, making the most of the home advantage and the support of their fans.
 

Confirmed Lineup: Weverton, Murilo , Joaquín Piquerez, Agustín Giay, Gustavo Gómez , Raphael Veiga, Andreas Pereira, Aníbal Moreno, Vitor Roque, José Manuel López, Felipe Anderson.
Coach: A. Moreira Ferreira.

Analysis Vasco

The away team is currently in the 11th position of the league, with 30 points won, after 7 wins, 7 draws and 11 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Bahia, by (3‑1). In the last match, they won in a home match against Cruzeiro, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 25 conceded; against 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 23 goals scored and 17 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Vasco has a record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 11 points out of 30 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 8 of the last 12 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 25 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 13 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 12 away matches for this competition there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 40 of their 54 goals between minutes (16'‑30'); they have conceded 38 of their 55 goals between minutes (0'‑15').

Vasco da Gama are in a mid-table situation, sitting 11th with 30 points from 25 games, with 8 wins, 6 draws and 11 defeats. Although the team have scored a reasonable number of goals (38), the defence has been one of the main concerns, conceding 35 goals, which could make life difficult in away games against strong opponents like Palmeiras. Vasco need to improve defensive consistency and try to control the tempo of the game to prevent the opposition from dominating midfield and creating many chances. Relying on collective strength and exploiting counter-attacks will be key to attempting to surprise the league leaders.
 

Confirmed Lineup: Léo Jardim, Robert Renan, Lucas Oliveira, Paulo Henrique, José Luis Rodríguez, Tchê Tchê, Philippe Coutinho , Hugo Moura, Nuno Moreira, Rayan, Pablo Vegetti .
Coach: F. Diniz Silva.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Palmeiras vs Vasco match, on 1 October 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Palmeiras wins at half time ⇒ bet available on Bet365.

The Palmeiras vs Vasco on 1 October 2025 will be played at São Paulo, Allianz Parque.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Online Betting Academy, for the Palmeiras Vasco match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Palmeiras at Bet365 with 91% of the tips.

 

Serie A - 2025

  • 67% 255 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 47.45%
  • Draws 28.24%
  • Away team wins 24.31%
  • Over 1.5 70.2%
  • Over 2.5 42.75%
  • Over 3.5 21.57%
  • Goals 612
  • Goals /match 2.4
  • Goals /match home 1.43
  • Goals /match away 0.97
  • Both teams score 48.63%
  • Goals after 80' 19.93%
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