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Wales VS Spain

Wales vs Spain

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Wales and Spain meet at Millennium Stadium, for a friendly match. This will be the 2nd friendly match of the year for Wales, after the previous one against Mexico. As for Spain, this is the 5th friendly match of the year, after havinf played friendly matches against Tunisia, Switzerland, Argentina and Germany. There is no recent record of official head‑to‑heads between these two teams. The last head‑to‑head was played on 30‑04‑1985 and ended with the final score: Wales (3‑0) Spain. The home advantage may play an important role in this match , since Wales presents significant differences between home and away results.

Analysis of Wales

The home team plays its 2nd friendly match of the year, after having faced Mexico, in a friendly that ended with the final score: Mexico (0‑0) Wales. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in away matches; against 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses at their stadium. In their last match, for the UEFA Nations League, they got an away loss against Denmark by (2‑0). In the last 5 home matches Wales has won 2, tied 2 and lost 1.

Wales heads to this game unmotivated after a 2-0 defeat in the League of Nations match. In this match against Spain, the team led by Ryan Giggs should play with a low block, exploring the space on the opponent's back in the best way: Tom Lawrence is the main player in this type of transition. On the other hand, Gareth Bale should occupy the most advanced position of the Welsh national team, being this very fast and strong in the finalization. For this difficult game the coach can count on all his players.

Confirmed Lineup: W. Hennessey, D. John, A. Williams, B. Davies, C. Gunter, E. Ampadu, J. Allen, H. Wilson, C. Roberts, A. Ramsey, S. Vokes.

Analysis of Spain

The away team plays its 5th friendly match of the year. In the previous friendly matches they registered the following final scores: Tunisia (0‑1) Spain, Spain (1‑1) Switzerland, Spain (6‑1) Argentina and Germany (1‑1) Spain. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss in away matches, with 31 goals scored and 14 conceded; against 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 49 goals scored and 9 conceded. In their last match, for the UEFA Nations League, they got a home win against Croatia by (6‑0). In the last 10 away matches Spain has won 7 and tied 3. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 3 of the last 4 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 4 matches for this competition. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 12 of the last 15 matches, they have reached half‑time in front in 7 of those 12 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 8 of them.

The Spanish national team arrives at this game with a 6-0 win against Croatia's runners-up: the team's goals were signed by Saúl, Marco Asensio, Rodrigo, Sergio Ramos, Isco and Kalinic (own-goal). In this match against Wales it is expected coach Luis Enrique to play in the usual tactical system, that is, 4-3-3, benefiting ball possession and organized attacks. Marco Asensio is the great highlight of this team, being this very fast and strong in the 1-1. For this game the Spanish coach should put on the field some less usual players.

Confirmed Lineup: David de Gea, José Gayá, Azpilicueta, Albiol, Sergio Ramos, Rodri Hernández, Saúl, Dani Ceballos, Suso, Álvaro Morata, Paco Alcácer.

Betting suggestion:

This game has a great tendency to be unbalanced, since on one side is the powerful Spain and on the other Wales, team that has presented a very irregular income. In this way, we believe that the game is not very different from Spanish national team's last games, that is, very open and with several sets of real danger. Taking into account these factors, risking in favor of the goals in this friendly is of enormous value.
NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.
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Friendlies - 2018

  • 94% 390 / 416 Games

  • Home team wins 44.87%
  • Draws 28.72%
  • Away team wins 26.41%
  • Over 1.5 65.64%
  • Over 2.5 41.28%
  • Over 3.5 23.85%
  • Goals 918
  • Goals /match 2.35
  • Goals /match home 1.4
  • Goals /match away 0.96
  • Both teams score 39.23%
  • Goals after 80' 11.98%
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