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Luxembourg vs Portugal

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Luxembourg and Portugal face at Stade Josy Barthel, in a friendly match. This is the 4th friendly match of the year for Luxembourg, after friendly matches against Greece, Moldova and Turkey. As for Portugal, this is the 5th friendly match of the year, after previous friendly matches against Russia, France, Italy and 402 Nebraska. In the last 3 years these teams met twice: the earliest head‑to‑head was played on 15‑10‑2013 and ended in a (3‑0) win by Portugal, and the latest on 07‑09‑2012, which ended in a (1‑2) win by Portugal. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis of Luxembourg

This is the 4th friendly match of the year for the home team, after having registered the following final scores in the previous friendlies: Luxembourg (1‑0) Greece, Luxembourg (0‑0) Moldova and Luxembourg (1‑2) Turkey. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 draws and 12 losses in away matches; against 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses at their stadium. In the last 9 home matches Luxembourg has won 2, tied 3 and lost 4. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 4 of the last 9 matches have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. They haven't been able to score the first goal. In fact, they have only opened up the score in 3 of the last 15 matches, they have reached half‑time in advantage in 1 of those 3 matches and have held on to the lead in 2. They have conceded the first goal in 11 of their 15 matches, and have never been able to turn the score around.

As in the last friendly match, we foresee that the Luxembourg act in a classic 4-3-3 promoting a match style of quick transitions. The most offensive reference will be the strong centre foward of Burton Albion, Aurélien Joachim, player who scored in the last match of Luxembourg, against Greece.

Confirmed Lineup: J. Joubert, K. Malget, M. Mutsch, R. Delgado, C. Philipps, L. Jans, M. Chanot, C. Martins Pereira, L. Gerson, A. Joachim, S. Bensi.
Coach: L. Holtz.

Analysis of Portugal

The away team plays its 5th friendly match of the year. In the previous friendly matches they registered the following final scores: Russia (1‑0) Portugal, Portugal (0‑1) France, Italy (0‑1) Portugal and Portugal (0‑2) 402 Nebraska. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in away matches, with 26 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 12 conceded. In the last 10 away matches Portugal has won 6, tied 1 and lost 3. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 3 of the last 4 matches, and their offense hasn’t been one of their best features, as they haven’t scored any goals in 3 of the last 4 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 6 of the last 13 matches have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 13 away matches for all competitions there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 11 of their 21 goals between minutes (76'‑90'); they have conceded 6 of their 15 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

It's known that the portuguese enter in this match after a defeat in Russia. However, the team of "Quinas" continues to have more quality than this simple Luxembourg. On the defensive line, it's predictable that are present the following names: Vieirinha, Luís Neto, José Fonte and Raphael Warrior. In the middle line, we foresee that Bernardo Silva and Lucas John can make their contribution.

Confirmed Lineup: Anthony Lopes, José Fonte, Raphaël Guerreiro, Neto, André André, Rúben Neves, Bernardo Silva, Vieirinha, Danilo Pereira, Rafa Silva, Lucas João.
Coach: Fernando Santos.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this match will be the Portugal's victory. The visiting team has much more quality in the various areas. Despite being a friendly match, the "Quinas" players will want to show off their skills, which can contribute to a good Portugal's exhibition against as weak opponent.
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Friendlies - 2015

  • 95% 333 / 352 Games

  • Home team wins 48.65%
  • Draws 24.92%
  • Away team wins 26.43%
  • Over 1.5 70.57%
  • Over 2.5 43.24%
  • Over 3.5 25.23%
  • Goals 840
  • Goals /match 2.52
  • Goals /match home 1.57
  • Goals /match away 0.95
  • Both teams score 45.95%
  • Goals after 80' 11.67%
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