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Germany vs Netherlands

Germany
Germany
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  • Cancelled

Netherlands

Preview:
Germany and Netherlands face at HDI‑Arena, in a friendly match. This is the 4th friendly match of the year for Germany, after friendly matches against France, United States and Australia. As for Netherlands, this is the 4th friendly match of the year, after previous friendly matches against Wales, United States and Spain. There are only 2 recent head‑to‑heads between these two teams: on 14‑11‑2012, which ended in a (0‑0) draw, and another on 13‑06‑2012, which ended in a (1‑2) win by Germany. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis of Germany

The home team plays its 4th friendly match of the year. In the previous friendly matches they registered the following final scores: France (2‑0) Germany, Germany (1‑2) United States and Germany (2‑2) Australia. This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in away matches; against 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses at their stadium. Germany has won 6, tied 2 and lost 2 of the last 10 home matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 11 of the last 16 have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

For this match the coach Joachim Löw can do some changes in the team compared to the last match against France. In addition to the changing of some players, the German coach should opt for the usual 4-2-3-1 instead of the 5-4-1 used in the last match. Thus it's expected that Gundogan, Mustafi and Schurrle appear on the starting 11 of the national German squad.
 

Possible lineup: M. Neuer, S. Mustafi, J. Hector, M. Hummels, M. Ginter, İ. Gündoğan, S. Khedira, B. Schweinsteiger, A. Schürrle, J. Draxler, T. Müller.

Analysis of Netherlands

The away team plays its 4th friendly match of the year. In the previous friendly matches they registered the following final scores: Wales (2‑3) Netherlands, Netherlands (3‑4) United States and Netherlands (2‑0) Spain. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 26 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 27 goals scored and 15 conceded. In the last 10 away matches Netherlands has won 6 and lost 4. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 11 of the last 11 matches have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

After the failure in qualifying for Euro 2016, Netherlands conquerede a good victory in the last match against Wales 3-2: Robben and Dost did the goals of the team. At this clash the Netherlands returned to using a tactical system used in World Cup 2014, the 3-5-2. Now for this game the coach Danny Blind must include on the starting 11 the winger Memphis Depay and the midfielder Wijnaldum: it matters to show that Manchester United player is in a gray phase of the season.  
 

Possible lineup: J. Cillessen, D. Janmaat, J. Bruma, T. Kongolo, V. van Dijk, D. Blind, W. Sneijder, G. Wijnaldum, A. Robben, M. Depay, B. Dost.

Betting suggestion: Clock to expand

The most likely scenario for this clash is the existence of some goals. Taking the features of the game into account, it foresees that both teams play the attack to provide entertainment to their fans. It's still expected that the national squad house have more initiative because of weapons that enjoys.
Over 2.5 Goals ⇒ odd 1.70
NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.
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Friendlies - 2015

  • 95% 333 / 352 Games

  • Home team wins 48.65%
  • Draws 24.92%
  • Away team wins 26.43%
  • Over 1.5 70.57%
  • Over 2.5 43.24%
  • Over 3.5 25.23%
  • Goals 840
  • Goals /match 2.52
  • Goals /match home 1.57
  • Goals /match away 0.95
  • Both teams score 45.95%
  • Goals after 80' 11.67%
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