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Preview:
Valencia and Getafe face at Estadio de Mestalla, in a match for the 16th round of the Primera División. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 3 and lost 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primera División, on 15‑02‑2015, Valencia won by (1‑0). Negredo (71' ) scored the only goal of the match. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis of Valencia

The home team is currently in the 8th position of the league, with 21 points won, after 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Barcelona, by (1‑1). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Eibar, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 17 goals scored and 22 conceded; against 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 21 goals scored and 13 conceded. They come to this match after a home win against Barakaldo by (2‑0). For the league, Valencia won 13 points out of 21 possible points, after 3 wins and 4 draws in the last 7 home matches.

In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 7 home matches. In their home matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 0‑0 (3 out of 7 matches) and after the 90' 1‑1 (3 out of 7 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 15 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 13 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 4 of their 10 goals between minutes (31'‑45').

The home team usually plays in a traditional 4-3-3 formation, privileging offensive moves through the wings in fast transitions. Dani Parejo is the brain of Valencia and usually creates most of their dangerous moves. They need to start winning to get closer to a European standing in the table, but Bakkali, Feghouli, Diego Alves and Rodrigo are still recovering from injuries and should be unavailable for this match.

Confirmed Lineup: Jaume Doménech, S. Mustafi, Barragán, A. Abdennour, João Cancelo, José Gayá, André Gomes, Dani Parejo, Danilo Barbosa, Paco Alcácer, P. Piatti.
Coach: Pako Ayestarán.

Analysis of Getafe

The away team is currently in the 14th position of the league, with 15 points won, after 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Real Madrid, by (4‑1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Real Sociedad, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in away matches, with 15 goals scored and 34 conceded; against 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 22 goals scored and 14 conceded. In their last match, for the Copa del Rey, they got a home win against Rayo Vallecano by (3‑1). In the last 7 away league matches Getafe has a record of 1 draw and 6 losses, so they have won 1 point out of 21 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 7 away matches. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 15 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Given their weaknesses, Getafe usually closes gaps in the middle, particularly against stronger opponents, privileging defensive consistency and trying to steal the ball to counterattack. They are also good at holding on to leads. But in this match the coach will not be able to count on Carlos Vigaray, Velázquez, Buendía and Álvaro Medrán, who are recovering from injuries.

Confirmed Lineup: Guaita, Juan Cala, D. Suárez, Alexis, Roberto Lago, Víctor Rodríguez, Pablo Sarabia, Lafita, M. Lacen, Juan Rodríguez, S. Šćepović.
Coach: J. Esnáider.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario is that Valencia will win. The home team has hasn’t been as strong as they used to be at home, but they face an opponent that usually doesn’t get great results in away matches: in 8 away matches they have lost 7. Therefore, Valencia should use the home advantage and the quality of its squad to get the 3 points.
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Tips : Valencia vs Getafe

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Primera División - 2015/2016

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 48.16%
  • Draws 24.21%
  • Away team wins 27.63%
  • Over 1.5 76.58%
  • Over 2.5 51.58%
  • Over 3.5 28.95%
  • Goals 1043
  • Goals /match 2.74
  • Goals /match home 1.62
  • Goals /match away 1.13
  • Both teams score 50.26%
  • Goals after 80' 17.64%
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