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Preview:
Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano face at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, in a match for the 16th round of the Primera División. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 4. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primera División, on 08‑11‑2014, Real Madrid won by (5‑1). G. Bale (9' ), Sergio Ramos (40' ), T. Kroos (55' ), K. Benzema (59' ) and Cristiano Ronaldo (83' ) scored for Real Madrid and Bueno (44' ) for Rayo Vallecano. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis of Real Madrid

The home team is currently in the 3rd position of the league, with 30 points won, after 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Getafe, by (4‑1). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Villarreal, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 25 goals scored and 14 conceded; against 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 40 goals scored and 10 conceded. In the last 7 home league matches Real Madrid has a record of 5 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, so they have won 16 points out of 21 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition.

Real Madrid comes to this match after a loss in an away match against Villarreal. Despite this, they should have no problem beating Rayo at home. Coach Rafael Benítez is likely to present a very offensive team, with Kroos taking the place of defensive midfielder Casemiro. Cristiano Ronaldo is the best scorer of the team, with a total of 21 goals scored so far. Carvajal and Varane are injured and Marcelo is in doubt.

Confirmed Lineup: K. Navas, Pepe, Danilo, Sergio Ramos, Marcelo, L. Modrić, T. Kroos, J. Rodríguez, K. Benzema, G. Bale, Cristiano Ronaldo.
Coach: Luis Miguel Ramis.

Analysis of Rayo Vallecano

The away team is currently in the 18th position of the league, with 14 points won, after 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Villarreal, by (2‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Málaga, by (1‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 15 goals scored and 29 conceded; against 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 18 conceded. In their last match, for the Copa del Rey, they got an away loss against Getafe by (3‑1). In the last 7 away league matches Rayo Vallecano has a record of 1 win, 1 draw and 5 losses, so they have won 4 points out of 21 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 5 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 15 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Rayo Vallecano comes to this match after a series of 3 matches with no wins. In the last round they have lost 3-1 in an away match against Getafe, for Copa del Rey. In this away match against a much superior opponent, coach Paco Jémez shouldn’t present a very defensive strategy, since he knows the team must try to score at least one goal, otherwise Real will score sooner or later and win the match. A player stands out in this team, the striker Javi Guerra, who has scored 9 goals so far. Toño, David Cobeño and Patrick Ebert are injured and will not be available.

Confirmed Lineup: Yoel, Zé Castro, Tito, Antonio Amaya, Nacho Martínez, Jozabed , Pablo Hernández, Roberto Trashorras, Raúl Baena, Javi Guerra, Alhassane Bangoura.
Coach: Paco Jémez.

Betting suggestion:

The tendency in this match is that there will be at least 2 goals in the first half. Despite coming from a loss, Real should be motivated to score early and then control the match, avoiding unnecessary efforts. Moreover, Rayo doesn’t have enough defensive arguments to resist the home team’s offensive power for too long.
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Tips : Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano

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Primera División - 2015/2016

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 48.16%
  • Draws 24.21%
  • Away team wins 27.63%
  • Over 1.5 76.58%
  • Over 2.5 51.58%
  • Over 3.5 28.95%
  • Goals 1043
  • Goals /match 2.74
  • Goals /match home 1.62
  • Goals /match away 1.13
  • Both teams score 50.26%
  • Goals after 80' 17.64%
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