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Preview:
Málaga and Atlético Madrid face at Estadio La Rosaleda, in a match for the 16th round of the Primera División. The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 1 and tied 3. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primera División, played on 11‑04‑2015, they tied (2‑2). Fernando Torres (37' Own goal) and Samu (71' ) scored for Málaga and A. Griezmann (25' and 78' ) for Atlético Madrid. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis of Málaga

After 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses, the home team is in the 16th position, havinf won 14 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Rayo Vallecano by (1‑2), after in the previous match they have tied (0‑0) an away match against Athletic Club. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in away matches, with 9 goals scored and 21 conceded; against 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 16 conceded. In their last match, for the Copa del Rey, they got a home loss against Mirandés by (0‑1). In the last 7 home league matches Málaga has a record of 2 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 9 points out of 21 possible. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (5 out of 7 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. 15 of their last 23 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals, so there is a tendency for few goals in their home matches. They haven't been able to score the first goal. In fact, they have only opened up the score in 3 of the last 15 matches for the Primera División, they have reached half‑time in advantage in 2 of those 3 matches and have held on to the lead in 2. They have conceded the first goal in 8 of their 15 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 9 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 3 of their 6 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

In this match Malaga has the home advantage, where they have had their best results. However, they do come from 2 matches with no wins. Moreover, they are going to face a team from the first positions of the table, which means they will surely struggle to get the 3 points in this match.

Confirmed Lineup: C. Kameni, Albentosa, R. Rosales, Weligton, Miguel Torres, Juan Carlos, N. Amrabat, Recio, Ignacio Camacho, Charles, D. Čop.
Coach: Javi Gracia.

Analysis of Atlético Madrid

The away team is currently in the 2nd position of the league, with 35 points won, after 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Granada, by (0‑2). In the last match, they won in a home match against Athletic Club, by (2‑1). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss in away matches, with 23 goals scored and 5 conceded; against 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 22 goals scored and 8 conceded. In their last match, for the Copa del Rey, they got a home win against Reus Deportiu by (1‑0). In the last 7 away league matches Atlético Madrid has a record of 5 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, so they have won 16 points out of 21 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 4 away matches. In their away matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 0‑1 (5 out of 7 matches) and after the 90' 0‑2 (3 out of 7 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 22 of the last 33 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 12 of the last 15 matches for the Primera División, they have reached half‑time in front in 9 of those 12 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 10 of them.

Atlético Madrid is to play another away match. However, they usually keep their performance levels in this condition and come from a series of no losses in 4 matches, including 3 wins. Therefore, in this match against a team from the bottom of the table, Atlético Madrid should get another away win continuing their fight for the lead in the league table.

Confirmed Lineup: J. Oblak, J. Giménez, Juanfran, D. Godín, Filipe Luis, Koke, Y. Carrasco, Gabi, Saúl, L. Vietto, A. Griezmann.
Coach: D. Simeone.

Betting suggestion:

In this match Malaga has the home advantage, but they come from 2 matches with no wins and are at the bottom of the table. On the contrary, Atlético Madrid is in the first positions and comes from 4 away matches with no losses. Therefore, due to the home team’s need for points in this match against a top team, we believe the match will have open moments and many goal opportunities.
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Tips : Málaga vs Atlético Madrid

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Primera División - 2015/2016

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 48.16%
  • Draws 24.21%
  • Away team wins 27.63%
  • Over 1.5 76.58%
  • Over 2.5 51.58%
  • Over 3.5 28.95%
  • Goals 1043
  • Goals /match 2.74
  • Goals /match home 1.62
  • Goals /match away 1.13
  • Both teams score 50.26%
  • Goals after 80' 17.64%
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