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Granada and Sevilla face at Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes, in a match for the 18th round of the Primera División. The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 5 head‑to‑heads they won 3 and tied 2. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primera División, played on 19‑04‑2015, they tied (1‑1). Mainz (16' ) scored for Granada and Mainz (69' Own goal) for Sevilla. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 18th and 8th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 20th best team in home matches and the 17th best in away matches.

Analysis of Granada

After 3 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses, the home team is in the 18th position, havinf won 14 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Las Palmas by (4‑1), after in the previous match they have lost (0‑2) at home, against Celta de Vigo. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 9 points in away matches, with 12 goals scored and 16 conceded, against 5 points won at their stadium, with 6 goals scored and 15 conceded. For the league, Granada won 5 points out of 24 possible points, after 1 win, 2 draws and 5 losses in the last 8 home matches. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑2 (3 out of 8 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 8 of the last 8 matches for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 17 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 12 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 10 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 3 of their 7 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

Granada come discouraged to this match after a 4-1 defeat against Las Palmas. The big quality of the home team is the capacity to guide their offensive approaches through quick transitions. From the defensive point of view, the difficulties become higher when the opponent team attack through the flanks. The venezuelan Peñaranda is the player responsible to put the defensive opponent in alert, and his main quality is the finishing. 

Confirmed Lineup: Andrés Fernández, Lombán, Dória, Mainz, D. Foulquier, Edgar Méndez, R. Krhin, Rubén Pérez, A. Peñaranda, Rubén Rochina, I. Success.
Coach: José González.

Analysis of Sevilla

The away team is currently in the 8th position of the league, with 26 points won, after 7 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Real Betis, by (0‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against Espanyol, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 5 points in away matches and 21 points at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 10 goals conceded at home, against 4 goals scored and 9 conceded in away matches. In the last 8 away league matches Sevilla has a record of 5 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 5 points out of 24 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 8 away matches. In their away matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 0‑0 (3 out of 8 matches) and 1‑0 (4 out of 8 matches) and after the 90' 1‑1 (3 out of 8 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 7 of the last 8 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 17 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 13 away matches for all competitions there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 4 of their 10 goals between minutes (76'‑90'); they have conceded 6 of their 17 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Sevilla come motivated to this match after a 2-0 victory, at home, against Espanhol. The visiting team choose to occupy the midfield, to create more danger through the centre aisle. Even so, Sevilla have possibilities to create danger through the flanks. One of the biggest qualities of the visiting team are the offensive dead balls. The coach of the visiting team won't count on Parejo neither Andreolli, both by injury. 

Confirmed Lineup: Sergio Rico, A. Rami, Mariano, T. Kolodziejczak, Sergio Escudero, Vitolo, José Antonio Reyes, Iborra, G. Krychowiak, Llorente, K. Gameiro.
Coach: Unai Emery.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario to this match is that Sevilla won't win. We know that the visiting team have more quality compared to the opponent of this match, however, to the championship, Sevilla don't count on any victory away home. Granada have already won, this season, Atlético de Bilbao at home. So, it's expected that the home team will take advantage from the home factor and will conquer a positive result. 
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Tips : Granada vs Sevilla

Forum comments


Primera División - 2015/2016

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 48.16%
  • Draws 24.21%
  • Away team wins 27.63%
  • Over 1.5 76.58%
  • Over 2.5 51.58%
  • Over 3.5 28.95%
  • Goals 1043
  • Goals /match 2.74
  • Goals /match home 1.62
  • Goals /match away 1.13
  • Both teams score 50.26%
  • Goals after 80' 17.64%
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