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Real Madrid VS Celta de Vigo

Preview
Real Madrid and Celta de Vigo face at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, in a match for the 37th round of the Primera División. In the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 07‑01‑2018, these teams have tied (2‑2). The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 5 head‑to‑heads they won 4 and lost 1. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Copa del Rey, on 18‑01‑2017, Celta de Vigo won by (1‑2). Marcelo (69' ) scored for Real Madrid and Iago Aspas (64' ) and Jonny Castro (70' ) for Celta de Vigo. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis of Real Madrid

After 21 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses, the home team is in the 3rd position, havinf won 72 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Sevilla by (3‑2), after in the previous match they have tied (2‑2) an away match against Barcelona. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 35 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 38 goals scored and 24 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches Real Madrid has a record of 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 20 points out of 30 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 12 of the last 18 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 36 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

Real Madrid no longer has big aspirations in the Spanish League, as its rival Barcelona has conquered the title a few rounds in advance and has given greater importance to the Champions League where it is in the final. The team has a good quality attack that is La Liga's second best with 86 goals scored, while the defense is only the seventh less leaked with 42 goals conceded, numbers insufficient for the quality of its defenders. 
Playing at home, as this Saturday's clash, Real Madrid comes from good sequence of 8 games of invincibility where it won 6 and drew 2 and is the second team that scored the most goals in this type of situation, but it is worth mentioning that conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 away games, again showing a certain fragility of its defensive system. 
For the game with Celta de Vigo, coach Zinedine Zidane should spare several athletes, working with a mixed team, as he used in the last round in the defeat against Sevilla.

Confirmed Lineup: K. Navas, Nacho, A. Hakimi, R. Varane, Marcelo, T. Kroos, L. Modrić, Casemiro, Isco, K. Benzema, G. Bale.
Coach: Z. Zidane.

Analysis of Celta de Vigo

The away team is currently in the 12th position of the league, with 46 points won, after 12 wins, 10 draws and 14 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Villarreal, by (4‑1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Deportivo La Coruña, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in away matches, with 14 goals scored and 30 conceded; against 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 25 goals scored and 14 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Celta de Vigo has a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses, so they have won 10 points out of 30 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 14 of the last 18 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 36 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 17 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

Celta de Vigo arrives for this final stretch of La Liga just to fulfill schedule, as it has no pretensions in this competition, being guaranteed in the first division next season. The team has a reasonable attack that has scored 55 goals and is the sixth best of the competition, while the defense needs to improve, having suffered 52 goals and is the eighth most leaked, so much so that in its last 4 games, it occurred to both teams scoring goals. Celta de Vigo is going through a terrible moment, accumulating 6 losses and 1 draw in the last 7 games and it is worth mentioning that it has conceded 15 goals in these matches, evidencing once again its defensive problems. For the game against Real Madrid, coach Unzué has no problems in the team that has been acting in the last games and should repeat the lineup of the last matches.

Confirmed Lineup: Sergio Álvarez, F. Roncaglia, Hugo Mallo, Sergi Gómez, Jonny Castro, Brais Méndez, D. Wass, S. Lobotka, Jozabed , M. Gómez, L. Boyé.

Betting suggestion:

This confrontation tends to be busy, considering that both teams play without major responsibilities and should act in a more loose way, without great defensive commitment. Real Madrid should play with a team full of reserves, but it still has firepower to score goals but on the other hand it conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 games in its stadium, while Celta de Vigo has a great opportunity to make a good game against the mixed team of Real Madrid and should give it all in search of the 3 points. Given these factors, we believe in a game with high offensive volume and both teams should score at least 1 goal each.
NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.

Markets
Match Odds 45 Place your bet
Celta Vigo 13%
12.75
Real Madrid 78%
1.363
The Draw 9%
7.6
Over/Under 2.5 goals 23 Place your bet
Under 2.5 Goals 4%
5.1
Over 2.5 Goals 96%
1.29
Half Time 10 Place your bet
Celta Vigo 15%
9
Real Madrid 80%
1.727
The Draw 5%
3.7
Over/Under 1.5 Goals 10 Place your bet
Under 1.5 Goals 10%
14
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
1.083
Over/Under 3.5 Goals 18 Place your bet
Under 3.5 Goals 28%
2.66
Over 3.5 Goals 72%
1.7
Over/Under 4.5 Goals 11 Place your bet
Under 4.5 Goals 45%
1.71
Over 4.5 Goals 55%
2.75
Over/Under 0.5 Goals 3 Place your bet
Under 0.5 Goals 0% 60
Over 0.5 Goals 100%
1.01
Over/Under 5.5 Goals 3 Place your bet
Under 5.5 Goals 0% 1.33
Over 5.5 Goals 100%
4.75
Over/Under 6.5 Goals 1 Place your bet
Under 6.5 Goals 0% 1.14
Over 6.5 Goals 100%
8
Both teams to Score? 24 Place your bet
No 21%
2.9
Yes 79%
1.55
Half With Most Goals 1 Place your bet
1st Half 0% 3.1
2nd Half 0% 2.1
Tie 100%
4.8
First Half Goals 1.5 3 Place your bet
Under 1.5 Goals 0% 2.2
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
1.7
Note: On the graphics, the lay Tips were converted to Back on the other choices of that market.

Tips
Note: Listing of Tips made only in contests available at the Online Betting Academy.

Forum comments

 

Primera División - 2017/2018

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 47.11%
  • Draws 22.63%
  • Away team wins 30.26%
  • Over 1.5 71.05%
  • Over 2.5 50.53%
  • Over 3.5 28.42%
  • Goals 1024
  • Goals /match 2.69
  • Goals /match home 1.55
  • Goals /match away 1.15
  • Both teams score 46.58%
  • Goals after 80' 17.68%
View all
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