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Rayo Vallecano and Atlético Madrid face at Estadio del Rayo Vallecano (de Vallecas Teresa Riv, in a match for the 17th round of the Primera División. The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 2, tied 1 and lost 1. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primera División, played on 25‑08‑2014, they tied (0‑0). Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis of Rayo Vallecano

After 4 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses, the home team is in the 18th position, havinf won 14 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Real Madrid by (10‑2), after in the previous match they have lost (1‑2) at home, against Málaga. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 16 goals scored and 38 conceded; against 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 18 conceded. In the last 8 home league matches Rayo Vallecano has a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, so they have won 10 points out of 24 possible. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 1‑0 (3 out of 8 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 6 of the last 8 for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have never been able to turn the score around. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 10 home matches for all competitions: they have scored 4 of their 11 goals between minutes (0'‑15').

Rayo Vallecano comes to this match after 4 consecutive losses, including a 10-2 loss against Real Madrid. One of the main problems of the team is that they have had problems defending counterattacks, with most defensive players lacking speed to stop fast forwards. However, Rayo has good technical skill and usually controls ball possession. In this match against one of the strongest Spanish teams, coach Paco Jémez will not be able to count on Tito and Raúl Baena, who have been suspended, nor Castro, Toño, Ebert and Cobeño, who are recovering from injuries.

Confirmed Lineup: Yoel, Zé Castro, Diego Llorente, Quini, Chechu Dorado, Pablo Hernández, Jozabed , Roberto Trashorras, Manucho Gonçalves, Alhassane Bangoura, Javi Guerra.
Coach: Paco Jémez.

Analysis of Atlético Madrid

The away team is currently in the 2nd position of the league, with 35 points won, after 11 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Athletic Club, by (2‑1). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Málaga, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 22 goals scored and 5 conceded; against 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 22 goals scored and 8 conceded. In the last 8 away league matches Atlético Madrid has a record of 5 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, so they have won 16 points out of 24 possible. In their away matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 0‑1 (5 out of 8 matches) and after the 90' 0‑2 (3 out of 8 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 7 of the last 8 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 12 of the last 16 matches for the Primera División, they have reached half‑time in front in 9 of those 12 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 10 of them. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

Despite the lost in the last match against Málaga, Atlético de Madrid comes motivated to this match due to the good position in the league table, so they wish to win 3 points to stay on top of the league table. Coach Diego Simeone should try to use counterattacks as the main weapon, since he is aware of the defensive problems of Rayo and will try to take advantage of that. They are also very good in offensive set pieces. Gabi is suspended, while Tiago and Jackson Martínez are still recovering from injuries.

Confirmed Lineup: J. Oblak, J. Giménez, Juanfran, D. Godín, Jesús Gámez, Koke, Y. Carrasco, Saúl, Óliver Torres, Fernando Torres, A. Griezmann.
Coach: D. Simeone.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario is that there will be a few goals. Given the quality difference between the two teams, we expect Atlético to attack from the 1st minute, which means there is a tendency for goals in this match. Moreover, Rayo Vallecano should take a few offensive risks to offer their supporters a win, after the heavy loss against Real Madrid.
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Tips : Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético Madrid

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Primera División - 2015/2016

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 48.16%
  • Draws 24.21%
  • Away team wins 27.63%
  • Over 1.5 76.58%
  • Over 2.5 51.58%
  • Over 3.5 28.95%
  • Goals 1043
  • Goals /match 2.74
  • Goals /match home 1.62
  • Goals /match away 1.13
  • Both teams score 50.26%
  • Goals after 80' 17.64%
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