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Deportivo Alavés Rayo Vallecano betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this match is the occurrence of few goals. Alavés has an inefficient attack that scores goals with low frequency, but their defense is very solid, mainly in the home matches, having the third less leaked defense with only 6 goals in 9 matches. Rayo Vallecano, on the other hand, can not yield offensively away from home, having scored only 2 goals in the last 6 matches, did not scored a single goal in 4 of them and their last 2 away games had only 1 goal on the scoreboard, being one of them against the powerful Real Madrid. Given these factors, we believe in a game without great emotions, low offensive volume and few goals.
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Preview
Deportivo Alavés and Rayo Vallecano face at Estadio de Mendizorroza, in a match for the 21th round of the Primera División. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 22‑09‑2018, Deportivo Alavés got an away win by (1‑5). Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis Alavés

After 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses, the home team is in the 5th position, havinf won 32 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Getafe by (4‑0), after in the previous match they have tied (1‑1) an away match against Girona. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 losses in away matches, with 16 goals scored and 25 conceded; against 7 wins and 8 draws at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 12 conceded.

In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 9 home matches. There are a few recurrent results in their home matches: at half‑time 0‑0 (4 out of 9 matches) and after the 90' 2‑1 (4 out of 9 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 20 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 10 times, but have turned the score around in 4. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 11 home matches for all competitions: they have suffered 3 of their 8 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Alavés is making a great and surprising campaign in the Spanish league, but have seen their series of 4 games of invincibility to end in the last round in a heavy defeat against Getafe and now is looking for recovery to try to enter the qualification zone to the next Champions League UEFA. The team's main characteristic is the strength of their defense that has suffered 23 goals and is the sixth-lowest leaked of the competition, but before the defeat suffered in the last match, had the third least leaked defense, while the attack needs to improve, having scored only 22 goals and is the eighth worst of the competition. 
Playing at home, as the match of this Monday, Alavés is one of the 2 teams that have not yet been defeated in La Liga and is the third team that conceded the least goals with only 6 goals conceded in 9 matches, and did not suffer more than 1 goal in none of these games, showing again their defensive strength, especially in the home matches. 
For the game against Rayo Vallecano, coach Abelardo will not be able to rely on midfielder Tomás Pina due to suspension for the accumulation of yellow cards.

Analysis Vallecano

The away team is currently in the 18th position of the league, with 20 points won, after 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Celta de Vigo, by (4‑2). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Real Sociedad, by (2‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 11 goals scored and 21 conceded; against 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 24 goals scored and 26 conceded. In the last 9 away league matches Rayo Vallecano has a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses, so they have won 7 points out of 27 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 5 of the last 9 matches for this competition have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. In 20 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 12 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Rayo Vallecano is making a bad campaign in La Liga, but has improved in recent games, comes from 4 games of unbeaten record where they have won 3 and draw 1 and is looking for another positive result to try to leave the relegation zone. The team has an average offensive sector that has scored 24 goals and is the tenth best among the 20 teams in the league, but the big problem is their defense that has suffered 36 goals and is the second most leaked, being a team that manages to create a good number of chances, but it ends up leaving a lot of spaces behind. 
Playing away from home, like the match on Monday, Rayo Vallecano tends to find it difficult, losing 5 of the last 6 matches they played and it is worth noting that they failed to score goals in 4 of them, having scored only 2 goals in these games, being one team that drops a lot of offensive income away from their domains. 
For the confrontation with Alaves, coach Míchel has no problems in the starting team and goes to the field with the best.
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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Alavés vs Vallecano match, on 28 January 2019, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Under 2,5 goals ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The Alavés vs Vallecano on 28 January 2019 will be played at Vitoria-Gasteiz, Estadio Olaranbe.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Online Betting Academy, for the Alavés Vallecano match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Alavés at with 86% of the tips.

 

Primera División - 2018/2019

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 44.21%
  • Draws 28.95%
  • Away team wins 26.84%
  • Over 1.5 73.95%
  • Over 2.5 47.11%
  • Over 3.5 25%
  • Goals 983
  • Goals /match 2.59
  • Goals /match home 1.45
  • Goals /match away 1.13
  • Both teams score 51.84%
  • Goals after 80' 8.24%
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