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Deportivo Alavés Atlético Madrid betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This confrontation tends to be little busy, considering that the home team has increased a lot of production defensively, while the away one has long been considered one of the best teams in defensive terms in Europe. Alavés conceded just one goal in the last four games and conceded no goals in 6 of its last 10 home games, while Atletico Madrid has the least leaked defense of La Liga and is the second team to concede the least goals away from home. Given these factors, we believe in a game without great emotions, low offensive volume and few goals.
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Preview
Deportivo Alavés and Atlético Madrid meet at Estadio de Mendizorroza, in a match for the 35th round of the Primera División. Atlético Madrid got a home win by (1‑0), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 16‑12‑2017. The recent head‑to‑head record favours the away team, since they have a record of 1 win and 2 draws in the last 3 matches. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis Alavés

After 13 wins, 2 draws and 19 losses, the home team is in the 13th position, havinf won 41 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Las Palmas by (0‑4), after in the previous match they have lost (1‑2) at home, against Girona. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses in away matches; against 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home league matches Deportivo Alavés has a record of 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, so they have won 22 points out of 30 possible. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (9 out of 17 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 19 of their 34 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 17 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 7 of their 18 goals between minutes (46'‑60').

Alavés has grown a lot of income in the last rounds, winning 3 of the last 4 matches and managed to stay in the elite division of Spanish football, since there is no way to be reached by Deportivo La Coruña, the first team within the relegation zone. The team has problems in the defense and in attack as both are among the 10 most inefficient of the competition, but defensively seems to have adjusted well, having suffered only 1 goal in its last 4 matches. Playing at home like Sunday's match, Alavés won 7 of its last 10 games and did not concede goals in 6 of them, demonstrating again its defensive evolution in this final stretch of La Liga. For the clash with Atletico Madrid, coach Abelardo has no problems with injuries or suspensions in the starting team and should repeat the lineup of the last round where he imposed a heavy defeat to Las Palmas away from home.

Confirmed Lineup: Antonio Sivera, Alexis, Adrián Diéguez, Laguardia, Guillermo Maripán, Pina, Mubarak Wakaso, Pedraza, Sobrino, Munir, John Guidetti.
Coach: L. García Plaza.

Analysis Atlético

The away team is currently in the 2nd position of the league, with 72 points won, after 21 wins, 9 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Real Sociedad, by (3‑0). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Real Betis, by (0‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 25 goals scored and 17 conceded; against 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 30 goals scored and 3 conceded. In their last match, for the UEFA Europa League, they got an away tie against Arsenal by (1‑1). In the last 10 away league matches Atlético Madrid has a record of 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, so they have won 16 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (6 out of 17 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 9 of the last 17 matches for this competition have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. In 34 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 17 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 8 of their 14 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Atletico Madrid is presenting a great campaign in La Liga and, with almost no chance of winning the title, it wants to secure second place and stay ahead of its rival Real Madrid. The great secret of the team is the enormous strength of its defensive sector that suffers very few goals, being the least leaked of the compeitition with only 18 goals conceded in 34 matches, but it is worth emphasizing that the attack needs to find its best football, since it could not score a single goal in the last 2 rounds. 
Playing away from home, such as this Sunday's match, Atletico Madrid has the third best campaign of the Spanish Championship, but comes from 4 games without winning in this type of situation, having accumulated 3 losses and 1 draw, but still is the second team that suffered fewer goals with only 14 goals in 17 matches, being a team that usually leaves few spaces to the opponents away from its domains. 
For the confrontation against Alaves, coach Diego Simeone will not be able to count on defender Giménez on account of suspension and, also, should spare some athletes after the match of the Europa League against Arsenal in the middle of the week.

Confirmed Lineup: Axel Werner, Sime Vrsaljko, Stefan Savić, Lucas Hernández, Thomas Partey, Koke, Vitolo, Ángel Correa, Diego Costa.
Coach: G. Fernández Arenas, F. Torres Sanz, D. Simeone.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Alavés vs Atlético match, on 29 April 2018, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Under 2,5 goals ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The Alavés vs Atlético on 29 April 2018 will be played at Vitoria-Gasteiz, Estadio Olaranbe.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Online Betting Academy, for the Alavés Atlético match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Atlético at with 74% of the tips.

 

Primera División - 2017/2018

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 47.11%
  • Draws 22.63%
  • Away team wins 30.26%
  • Over 1.5 71.05%
  • Over 2.5 50.53%
  • Over 3.5 28.42%
  • Goals 1024
  • Goals /match 2.69
  • Goals /match home 1.55
  • Goals /match away 1.15
  • Both teams score 46.58%
  • Goals after 80' 17.68%
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