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Atlético Madrid Villarreal betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this match is the home team winning. Atletico Madrid have a superior squad and fight between the first placed, while Villarreal have an average quality squad and fight to leave the relegation zone. In addition, Atletico Madrid have the best home campaign, being the team that won the most and lost the least in this type of situation, having conquered 4 wins in the last 5 home games, while Villarreal have not won for 8 away games. In view of these factors, we believe Atletico Madrid will win this match without major difficulties.
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Preview
Atlético Madrid and Villarreal face at Estadio Wanda Metropolitano, in a match for the 25th round of the Primera División. In the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 20‑10‑2018, these teams have tied (1‑1). Oddly enough, the head‑to‑head record favours Villarreal: in the last 8 matches they won 4, tied 3 and lost 1. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis Atlético

After 13 wins, 8 draws and 3 losses, the home team is in the 2nd position, havinf won 47 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Rayo Vallecano by (0‑1), after in the previous match they have lost (1‑3) at home, against Real Madrid. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses in away matches; against 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss at their stadium. In their last match, for the UEFA Champions League, they got a home win against Juventus by (2‑0). In the last 10 home league matches Atlético Madrid has a record of 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, so they have won 25 points out of 30 possible. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (6 out of 12 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. 8 of their last 12 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals, so there is a tendency for few goals in their home matches. In 24 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

Atletico Madrid have been making a great campaign in La Liga, finished a series of 2 consecutive defeats with a good triumph in the last round and go in search of another positive result to try to reduce the difference of 7 points for the leader Barcelona. The team have an attack that has scored 34 goals in 24 games, being only the sixth best in the competition, an insufficient performance for a team of such quality, but their defense, on the other hand, has suffered only 17 goals and is the best of the championship, a characteristic of their manager Simeone. 
Playing at home, such as this Sunday's match, Atletico Madrid have the best campaign of La Liga, being the team which won the most, lost the least and conquered 4 wins in the last 5 games in this type of situation.
For the game against Villarreal, coach Diego Simeone will not be able to count on Lucas Hernandez on account of injury.

Analysis Villarreal

The away team is currently in the 18th position of the league, with 23 points won, after 4 wins, 11 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Real Valladolid, by (0‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against Sevilla, by (3‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 17 goals scored and 23 conceded; against 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 33 goals scored and 17 conceded. In their last match, for the UEFA Europa League, they got a home tie against Sporting CP by (1‑1). In the last 10 away league matches Villarreal has a record of 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 10 points out of 30 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 8 away matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (5 out of 11 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 24 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 11 away matches for this competition there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 4 of their 10 goals between minutes (76'‑90'); they have conceded 6 of their 14 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Villarreal campaign much lower than expected in La Liga, ended a series of 10 games without a win with a good victory over the good Sevilla in the last round and now go in search of yet another positive result to try to leave the relegation zone. The team need to improve both in the offensive and defensive sectors, having scored 26 goals in 24 games, being the eighth worst in the league, while the defense suffered 31 goals and is the eighth worst, being a team that finish little and still leave many spaces behind. 
Playing away from home, such as this Sunday's match, Villarreal have acted very badly, coming from 4 losses and 4 draws and have not scored goals in their last 3 games, again evidencing their offensive problems that are intensified in the away condition. 
For the confrontation with Atletico Madrid, coach Javi Calleja will not be able to count on defender Bonera, main player of his defensive sector, due to injury.
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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Atlético vs Villarreal match, on 24 February 2019, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Atlético wins ⇒ bet available on williamhill.

The Atlético vs Villarreal on 24 February 2019 will be played at Madrid, Estadio Civitas Metropolitano.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Online Betting Academy, for the Atlético Villarreal match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Atlético at with 95% of the tips.

 

Primera División - 2018/2019

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 44.21%
  • Draws 28.95%
  • Away team wins 26.84%
  • Over 1.5 73.95%
  • Over 2.5 47.11%
  • Over 3.5 25%
  • Goals 983
  • Goals /match 2.59
  • Goals /match home 1.45
  • Goals /match away 1.13
  • Both teams score 51.84%
  • Goals after 80' 8.24%
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