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Preview:
Brazil and Peru face at Arena Fonte Nova, in a match for this stage of the WC Qualification South America (1st Round). The only recent head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 14‑06‑2015, and ended in a (2‑1) win by Brazil. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis of Brazil

After 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss, the home team is currently in the 4th position, with 4 points won. In the last match, they have tied (1‑1) in an away match against Argentina, after in the previous round they have won (3‑1) at home against Venezuela. This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in away matches; against 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 home matches Brazil has won 8 and lost 2. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 5 times, but have turned the score around in 2.

After a slow start against Argentina, Brazil managed to work harder in the second half of the match and ended up earning an important point away from home. Now, they won't be able to use David Luiz, sent off at the end of the clash against Argentina, they pretend to confirm their favouritism against Peru and add three more points to their campaign. In order to do that, they should change their defensive approach that was really unstable in the last match, and without David Luiz they could improve because the PSG defender wasn't in his days and made some bad mistakes.



Confirmed Lineup: Alisson, João Miranda, Dani Alves, Gil, Filipe Luis, Renato Augusto, Willian, Douglas Costa, Luiz Gustavo, Elias, Neymar.
Coach: Tite.

Analysis of Peru

The away team is currently in the 8th position, with 3 points won, after 1 win and 2 losses. In the penultimate round, they have lost a home match against Chile by (3‑4). In the last round, they have won a home match against Paraguay by (1‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in away matches, with 15 goals scored and 26 conceded; against 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 21 goals scored and 10 conceded. Their last away match for this competition ended in a loss by (2‑0) against Colombia. In the last 10 away matches Peru has won 2, tied 2 and lost 6. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 12 of the last 13 matches have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 13 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 5 of their 12 goals between minutes (16'‑30').

With the expected victory against Paraguay, Peru has finally some reasons to smile after conceeding some bad goals in the first matches. Now, against the brazilian team they pretend to keep their defensive improvement, with a strong marking and quick counter-attacks in order to surprise their opponent in his own soil.




Confirmed Lineup: D. Penny, C. Zambrano, L. Advíncula, C. Ascues, Y. Yotún, P. Hurtado, C. Cueva, C. Lobatón, R. Tapia, P. Guerrero, J. Farfán.
Coach: R. Gareca.

Betting suggestion:

Brazil has a much better team and is naturally favourite to win this match and despite some disappointing exhibitions in the last few matches, they should present some tactical changes in this one in order to improve and win this important game.




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WC Qualification South America - 2018 Russia

  • 76% 68 / 90 Games

  • Home team wins 54.41%
  • Draws 19.12%
  • Away team wins 26.47%
  • Over 1.5 82.35%
  • Over 2.5 63.24%
  • Over 3.5 33.82%
  • Goals 199
  • Goals /match 2.93
  • Goals /match home 1.78
  • Goals /match away 1.15
  • Both teams score 45.59%
  • Goals after 80' 16.08%
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