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River Plate VS Cruzeiro

Preview

River Plate and Cruzeiro face off next Thursday at Monumental Nunez stadium on this match on this match of the quarter finals of the Copa Libertadores of America 2015. A match between two teams with very different roads. River was disappointing all around with only 7 points on 6 games played being the second worst qualified team.

Cruzeiro on the other hand, despite being still way below the expected for the former champions, still managed to finish first in group 3 with 11 points.

Analysis of River Plate

After an excellent 2014 where they won the Clausura tournament, were crowned champions of the Copa Sul-Americana and finished second on the Torneo de Transicion. River Plate kept their key players maintaining the good exhibitions with it. They are currently 5th on the division with only one loss. They have the best attack of the competition with 24 goals averaging 2 per match. Now they are intent on maintaining their good moment on the Libertadores although they struggled through the group stages.

River’s group was not hard and still they disappointed almost being knocked out. Starting with a loss they then conceded 4 straight draws only surviving by winning their last match and getting some help from the leaders Tigres with a last round win. On the top 16 round they faced eternal rivals Boca. After a 1-0 win at home they were drawn 0-0 away until the match was suspended due to shameful events from the fans. Boca was later suspended and River went through.


Confirmed Lineup: M. Barovero, J. Maidana, E. Mammana, Ramiro Funes Mori, L. Vangioni, C. Sánchez, L. Ponzio, M. Kranevitter, G. Martínez, T. Gutiérrez, R. Mora.
Coach: M. Gallardo.

Analysis of Cruzeiro

Similarly to their next opponents, Cruzeiro also had problems getting out of the group stages. Despite not facing strong opposition they still gave up two draws and before starting their winning streak until a loss against Huracan placed them into a position of having to win their last match. They indeed won against Universitario Sucre and were qualified to the top 16 were they faced Sao Paulo.

 Agaisnt their brasilian rivals, Cruzeiro was dominated away with an inspired Fabio (the GK) managing to cling on the game only losing 1-0. At home, despite being the better team by far, Cruzeiro only managed to win by on goal. The match had to be decided on a penalty shootout where Cruzeiro was the victor.


Confirmed Lineup: Fábio, Manoel, Mayke, Bruno Rodrigo, E. Mena, G. De Arrascaeta, Marquinhos, Willians, Henrique, Leandro Damião, Willian.
Coach: Vanderlei Luxemburgo.

Betting suggestion:

This is a very difficult match to analyse. Everyone is saying that River will win but we believe that the game will be much more close than predicted. As such we think that the Cruzeiro +0.5 at halftime Asian handicap odd is too high and does not reflect the reality of the match. 

NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.

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Note: On the graphics, the lay Tips were converted to Back on the other choices of that market.

Tips
 

Copa Libertadores - 2015

  • 100% 138 / 138 Games

  • Home team wins 52.17%
  • Draws 22.46%
  • Away team wins 25.36%
  • Over 1.5 72.46%
  • Over 2.5 42.75%
  • Over 3.5 25.36%
  • Goals 345
  • Goals /match 2.5
  • Goals /match home 1.54
  • Goals /match away 0.96
  • Both teams score 38.41%
  • Goals after 80' 17.97%
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