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Cruzeiro VS São Paulo

Preview
Cruzeiro and São Paulo match up at Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto, in a match for the second leg of the first knockout round of Copa Libertadores.
              
The head to head record favours the away team, which has won 3 of the last 4 matches.
              
The last time these teams met was in april 2014, for the Brazilian championship, in a game which ended 1-1 with goals by Júlio Baptista and Antônio Carlos.
              
It’s important to notice the usual intensity at which these games are played. According to the goal records, both teams usually play open matches. Th las 0-0 game was 11 years ago, in 2004.

Analysis of Cruzeiro

The Raposa is going through a negative period, since they register 4 losses in the last 5 matches, with goals by Willian and Léo in the last win. It’s also important to notice that one of these losses was on the first leg match of this knockout round, in which Cruzeiro lost 1-0 in São paulo.
              
As far as goals are concerned, Cruzeiro matches are usually open. In the last 9 matches only 2 ended with Under 1,5 Goals. Their favourite time to score is the first 15’ of the match.
              
On average, only 2 out of every 10 matches at the Governador Magalhães Pinto have ended without goals at halftime, which is proof of the team’s tendency to start the matches with a high pace.

Confirmed Lineup: Fábio, Manoel, Mayke, Bruno Rodrigo, E. Mena, G. De Arrascaeta, Marquinhos, Henrique, Willians, Leandro Damião, Willian.
Coach: Vanderlei Luxemburgo.

Analysis of São Paulo

Unlike their opponent in this round, São Paulo is going through a positive moment, having won 6 of their last 7 matches. It’s worth noticing that their last loss was in an away match against Santos, for 2-1.
              
Analysing the statistical data of the last 10 matches, the worst period of the Tricolor team is the first 15’, in which they have suffered 3 goals and have scored none. However, their best moment is the last 15’ of the game, in which they have scored 4 goals.
              
On average, 5 out of every 10 away matches end with no goals at halftime and 2 of them end with that score after the 90’. Another interesting data is that in the last 10 away matches São Paulo has only managed to score first in one.

Confirmed Lineup: Rafael Tolói, Bruno, Lucão, Reinaldo, Ganso, Wesley, Michel Bastos, Souza, Denílson, Alexandre Pato.
Coach: Rogério Ceni, J. Osorio.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this match is that Cruzeiro will win. Despite São Paulo’s best moment, the home team needs to attack to recover from the first leg disadvantage and is likely to score. Furthermore, the statistical data of São Paulo in away matches leads us to believe that Cruzeiro are the favourites.

NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.

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Copa Libertadores - 2015

  • 100% 138 / 138 Games

  • Home team wins 52.17%
  • Draws 22.46%
  • Away team wins 25.36%
  • Over 1.5 72.46%
  • Over 2.5 42.75%
  • Over 3.5 25.36%
  • Goals 345
  • Goals /match 2.5
  • Goals /match home 1.54
  • Goals /match away 0.96
  • Both teams score 38.41%
  • Goals after 80' 17.97%
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