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Preview:
Cruzeiro faces River Plate in the Mineirão Stadium, in Belo Horizonte, in a 2nd leg match for Libertadores Cup quarter-finals. In the 1st leg, Cruzeiro won in Argentina and therefore arrives in this match with an advantage.

Analysis of Cruzeiro

After a disappointing last season participation in this competition, compensated by winning the Brazilian title and the Brazil Cup, Cruzeiro initiated this edition of the event in an odd and unconvincing manner. They took a while to get into a good pace, but after two goalless draws they won the three of the last four matches and were first of their group. In the first knockout round, they eliminated São Paulo in penalties and then have done well in the first leg of this round by winning against River in Argentina.

In this first half of the season, they played for the state championship, but as rivals Atlético they didn’t do very well and were eliminated in the semi-final. They are now playing for the Brazilian championship, but have been sparing their best players to concentrate on this event.

Confirmed Lineup: Fábio, Manoel, Mayke, Bruno Rodrigo, E. Mena, G. De Arrascaeta, Willians, Henrique, Leandro Damião, Marquinhos, Willian.
Coach: Vanderlei Luxemburgo.

Analysis of River Plate

After winning the 2014 South American Cup, River has had a good season start in the national competitions, but hasn’t done so well in this Libertadores Cup. They lost their first group match and then tied the next 4 matches. Fortunately for them, their group was very balanced, which allowed them to finish second and qualify. In the quarter-finals, they faced rivals Boca Juniors and won 1-0 in the home match. The away match was cancelled after a few of River players having been attacked by Boca’s supporters, which gave River the qualification since Boca was disqualified from the competition as a result of these attacks.

In this round, River didn’t do so well against Cruzeiro in the 1st leg and didn’t get many goal opportunities. Cruzeiro, on the other hand, used fast counterattacks to create goal opportunities and after a few threats managed to score. River will now have to recover from this home loss in the 2nd leg.

Confirmed Lineup: M. Barovero, J. Maidana, G. Mercado, Ramiro Funes Mori, L. Vangioni, C. Sánchez, A. Rojas, M. Kranevitter, L. Ponzio, T. Gutiérrez, R. Mora.
Coach: M. Gallardo.

Betting suggestion:

River is under a lot of pressure in this match and needs to win to qualify for the next round. Cruzeiro has the home advantage and won 1-0 in the 1st leg, so they are likely to defend well and try to take advantages of any River mistakes, since the Argentineans are likely to take risks in order to score. Therefore, we believe the Asian Handicap +0.5 in favour of Cruzeiro is a bet of good value.

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NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.

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Tips : Cruzeiro vs River Plate

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Copa Libertadores - 2015

  • 100% 138 / 138 Games

  • Home team wins 52.17%
  • Draws 22.46%
  • Away team wins 25.36%
  • Over 1.5 72.46%
  • Over 2.5 42.75%
  • Over 3.5 25.36%
  • Goals 345
  • Goals /match 2.5
  • Goals /match home 1.54
  • Goals /match away 0.96
  • Both teams score 38.41%
  • Goals after 80' 17.97%
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