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Guimarães VS Moreirense


Preview
Vitória Guimarães and Moreirense face at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, in a match for the 17th round of the Primeira Liga. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 4 wins in the last 4 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 27‑04‑2018, in a match for the Primeira Liga, Vitória Guimarães won by (1‑0). The only goal of the match was scored by P. Hurtado (90' ).

Analysis of Vitória Guimarães

After 7 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses, the home team is in the 6th position, havinf won 25 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Belenenses by (1‑0), after in the previous match they have lost (1‑0) an away match against Nacional. For the league, Vitória Guimarães won 14 points out of 21 possible points, after 4 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last 7 home matches.

They haven’t lost any of the last 6 home matches for this competition. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 1‑0 (3 out of 7 matches). Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 14 of the last 22 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 6 of their 16 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 6 home matches for all competitions: they have scored 3 of their 8 goals between minutes (16'‑30').

Vitória de Guimarães arrives at this game unmotivated due to a 1-0 away loss to Belenenses, recording the second defeat in the Portuguese championship. Usually coach Luis Castro plays with four men in the defensive sector, three in the midfield and three in the most offensive sector. In addition to this and when playing at home, the team opts for a more supportive style of playing using, preferably, the right aisle to target the opponent: Davidson offers great depth to the team. It is important to note that midfielder André André is the team's best scorer with 6 goals scored. For this game the home coach can not count on the injured Francisco Ramos.

Confirmed Lineup: Douglas Jesus, Y. Osorio, F. Sacko, Pedrão, Rafa, Tozé, Pêpê Rodrigues, A. Wakaso, Alexandre Guedes, O. John, Davidson.
Coach: Luís Castro.

Analysis of Moreirense

The away team is currently in the 5th position of the league, with 28 points won, after 9 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Rio Ave, by (1‑2). In the last match, they won in a home match against Desportivo Aves, by (1‑0). In the last 8 away league matches Moreirense has a record of 4 wins and 4 losses, so they have won 12 points out of 24 possible. In their away matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 1‑0 (3 out of 8 matches) and after the 90' 1‑2 (3 out of 8 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 6 of the last 8 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times but have turned the score around in 3.

Moreirense comes to this game with a 1-0 home victory over Aves, recording the excellent series of four successive victories in the Portuguese league: the only goal of the team was signed by Loum N'Diaye. The away side plays in a tactical system similar to the opponent, that is, the 4-3-3, however, privileges the defensive organization and the direct balls for the attack, especially, looking for the forward Nenê. It is important to note that Aves has several shortcomings in the offensive set pieces and in the direct free kick. Heriberto Tavares is the team's best scorer with 4 goals scored. For this game coach Ivo Vieira can count on all his players.

Confirmed Lineup: Jhonatan, Ivanildo Fernandes, João Aurélio, R. Halliche, Ruben Lima, Chiquinho, Heriberto Tavares, Fabio Pacheco, M. Ndiaye, Nenê, Arsénio.
Coach: Ivo Vieira.

Betting suggestion:

Vitória de Guimarães has more quality, at some levels, compared to the opponent of this game, and in this way the tendency is to dominate ball possession and hold the best opportunities to score. We also emphasize that the Victorians have a fantastic performance in the home matches. On the other hand, the away side will fight with its weapons, trying to score points, but without great success. In this way, it is inevitable to bet on Guimarães's win on this round.
NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.

Markets
Match Odds 100 Place your bet
Moreirense 12%
4.4
Guimaraes 73%
2.1
The Draw 15%
3.5
Over/Under 2.5 goals 17 Place your bet
Under 2.5 Goals 12%
1.833
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
2.36
Half Time 27 Place your bet
Moreirense 6%
4.9
Guimaraes 72%
2.84
The Draw 22%
2.12
First Half Goals 17 Place your bet
Over 0.5 Goals 100%
1.44
Under 0.5 Goals 0% 2.82
Over/Under 1.5 Goals 16 Place your bet
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
1.45
Under 1.5 Goals 6%
3.4
Over/Under 3.5 Goals 6 Place your bet
Under 3.5 Goals 50%
1.3
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
4.6
Over/Under 4.5 Goals 2 Place your bet
Over 4.5 Goals 50%
10
Under 4.5 Goals 50%
1.1
Over/Under 0.5 Goals 4 Place your bet
Over 0.5 Goals 100%
1.1
Under 0.5 Goals 0% 10
Both teams to Score? 47 Place your bet
Yes 98%
1.98
No 2%
1.975
Half With Most Goals 2 Place your bet
2nd Half 100%
2.12
Tie 0% 3.4
1st Half 0% 3.25
Second Half 0%
First Half Goals 1.5 12 Place your bet
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
3.25
Under 1.5 Goals 8%
1.365
Note: On the graphics, the lay Tips were converted to Back on the other choices of that market.

Tips
Note: Listing of Tips made only in contests available at the Online Betting Academy.

Forum comments

 

Primeira Liga - 2018/2019

  • 64% 197 / 306 Games

  • Home team wins 47.21%
  • Draws 20.3%
  • Away team wins 32.49%
  • Over 1.5 68.53%
  • Over 2.5 45.18%
  • Over 3.5 23.86%
  • Goals 500
  • Goals /match 2.54
  • Goals /match home 1.46
  • Goals /match away 1.08
  • Both teams score 46.19%
  • Goals after 80' 14.4%
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