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Preview:
Vitória Setúbal and Sporting CP meet at Estádio do Bonfim, in a match for the 16th round of the Primeira Liga. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 2, tied 1 and lost 1. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primeira Liga, on 12‑04‑2015, Sporting CP won by (1‑2). Hyun‑Jun Suk (47' ) scored for Vitória Setúbal and Carlos Mané (38' ) and J. Tanaka (45' ) for Sporting CP. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 5th and 1st of the league table, it’s also a match between the 14th best team in home matches and the 1st best in away matches.

Analysis of Vitória Setúbal

After 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses, the home team is in the 5th position, havinf won 22 points so far. In the last match, they have tied at home against Sporting Braga by (1‑1), after in the previous match they have won (1‑3) an away match against Tondela. Interestingly enough, this is a team that has had better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 13 points in away matches and only 9 at their stadium. For the league, Vitória Setúbal won 9 points out of 24 possible points, after 1 win, 6 draws and 1 loss in the last 8 home matches.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 4 home matches. There are a few recurrent results in their home matches: at half‑time 0‑0 (3 out of 8 matches) and after the 90' 2‑2 (4 out of 8 matches). Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 15 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Vitória de Setúbal comes to this match after a 1-1 home draw against Braga. The home team has been one of the good surprises of this edition of the league, with good exhibitions and a few players showing great individual quality. Costinha, despite the he’s low stature, is the main offensive reference of the team, but has showed a few problems scoring. On the contrary, his Korean teammate, Huyn-Jun Suk, is the best scorer of the team, with 9 goals scored do far.

Confirmed Lineup: L. Raeder, T. Gorupec, Nuno Pinto, Frederico Venâncio, Ricardo Dani, Fabio Pacheco, Paulo Tavares, André Horta, Costinha, André Claro, Hyun-Jun Suk.
Coach: Quim Machado.

Analysis of Sporting CP

The away team is currently in the 1st position of the league, with 38 points won, after 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against União Madeira, by (1‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against Porto, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, with 14 goals scored and 3 conceded at home, against 12 goals scored and 4 conceded in away matches. In the last 8 away league matches Sporting CP has a record of 6 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, so they have won 19 points out of 24 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (4 out of 8 matches). Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they have only conceded goals in 3 of the last 10 matches, and their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 4 of the last 8 matches for this competition have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 13 of the last 15 matches for the Primeira Liga, they have reached half‑time in front in 8 of those 13 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 12 of them.

Sporting comes to this match very motivated by a 2-0 home win over rival FC Porto: Slimani scored 2 goals in this match and gave coach Jorge Jesus’s team the win and the lead in the league. Sporting should once again play in a 4-4-2 formation, with Slimani and Montero in front. The away team is aware of the quality of the home team, but they come confidant and will try to take advantage of the great form moment of Ruiz and Slimani to beat Vitória de Setúbal.

Confirmed Lineup: Rui Patrício, Jefferson, João Pereira, Paulo Oliveira, Naldo, Adrien Silva, João Mário, William Carvalho, Bruno César, I. Slimani, B. Ruiz.
Coach: Jorge Jesus.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario is that there will be a few goals. Given the head to head history and the individual quality difference between these teams, we expect an open match with a few goal opportunities. Moreover, both Vitória de Setúbal and Sporting like to play offensively, so they usually allow spaces in defence.
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Tips : Vitória Setúbal vs Sporting CP

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Primeira Liga - 2015/2016

  • 100% 306 / 306 Games

  • Home team wins 43.46%
  • Draws 24.84%
  • Away team wins 31.7%
  • Over 1.5 70.59%
  • Over 2.5 50.33%
  • Over 3.5 33.66%
  • Goals 831
  • Goals /match 2.72
  • Goals /match home 1.51
  • Goals /match away 1.2
  • Both teams score 48.37%
  • Goals after 80' 16.37%
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