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Vitória Guimarães and Benfica meet at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, in a match for the 15th round of the Primeira Liga. The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 5 head‑to‑heads they won 3, tied 1 and lost 1. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primeira Liga, played on 17‑05‑2015, they tied (0‑0). Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis of Vitória Guimarães

After 5 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses, the home team is in the 9th position, havinf won 19 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Estoril by (0‑1), after in the previous match they have lost (3‑4) at home, against Marítimo. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 20 goals scored and 24 conceded; against 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 15 goals scored and 15 conceded. For the league, Vitória Guimarães won 8 points out of 21 possible points, after 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 7 home matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. 13 of their last 19 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals, so there is a tendency for few goals in their home matches. They have conceded the first goal in 7 of their 14 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 2.

Vitória de Guimarães comes moralized into this match after beating Estoril away from home by 0-1. A 4 minute goal by Otavio made the difference. The home team has been showing some weaknesses in their offensive construction and finishing, and their best scorer, Henrique Dourado has scored only four times. They use to play in a 4-3-3 formation in which Licá, Henrique and Valente are the responsible player for creating danger at the opposite goal. The defender Dalbert wont be available to this match because of a suspension.

Confirmed Lineup: João Miguel , Pedrão, Bruno Gaspar, Josué Sá, Otavinho, Luís Rocha, B. Saré, Cafú, Licá, Alexandre Silva, Henrique Dourado.
Coach: Sérgio Conceição.

Analysis of Benfica

The away team is currently in the 3rd position of the league, with 31 points won, after 10 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against União Madeira, by (0‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against Rio Ave, by (3‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 19 goals scored and 16 conceded; against 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses at their stadium, with 32 goals scored and 13 conceded. In their last match, for the Taça da Liga, they got a home win against Nacional by (1‑0). In the last 6 away league matches Benfica has a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, so they have won 10 points out of 18 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 4 away matches. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 14 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 8 away matches for all competitions there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 6 of their 14 goals between minutes (0'‑15'); they have conceded 3 of their 7 goals between minutes (31'‑45').

Benfica also arrives moralized to this match after beating Nacional at home by 1-0 in a match to League Cup 1st Fixture. Luisão, Sálvio, Sílvio and Nélson Semedo wont be available due to injuries. In the ohter hand, Andreas Samaris wll also be missing the game due to suspension. 
So, we are expecting that Benfica will play with Fejsa, Jonas, Pizzi, and Renato Sanches at the midfield. The latter of them is at great shape.

Confirmed Lineup: Júlio César, L. López, André Almeida, Jardel, Eliseu, Pizzi, N. Gaitán, Renato Sanches, L. Fejsa, Jonas, R. Jiménez.
Coach: Rui Vitória.

Betting suggestion:

We are expecting goals from both sides in this match. Despite the head-to-head between the teams be pointing to a tight affair, we expect a very open match with good opportunities for both sides. Benfica needs to win and Guimarães is motivated and playing better so they'll also try to get a good result.

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Tips : Vitória Guimarães vs Benfica

Forum comments


Primeira Liga - 2015/2016

  • 100% 306 / 306 Games

  • Home team wins 43.46%
  • Draws 24.84%
  • Away team wins 31.7%
  • Over 1.5 70.59%
  • Over 2.5 50.33%
  • Over 3.5 33.66%
  • Goals 831
  • Goals /match 2.72
  • Goals /match home 1.51
  • Goals /match away 1.2
  • Both teams score 48.37%
  • Goals after 80' 16.37%
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