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Porto VS Penafiel

Preview
FC Porto and Penafiel face at Dragão Stadium, in a match for the 34th round of the Portuguese League.
 
Total domination by FC Porto in the head to head history: they have won all 5 last matches.
 
In the first half of the season, FC Porto won 3-1 in the away match against Penafiel.

Analysis of Porto

Julen Lopetegui’s team arrives at this match after a 1-1 draw against Belenenses, with which they have given away the title to their rivals Benfica. FC Porto is then 2nd in the League, with 79 points, after 24 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses.
 
Throughout the season, FC Porto home matches have been totally dominated by the home team. However, their last exhibitions haven’t been great. They still managed, however, to get a 9 match winning sequence in home matches.
 
Their defence is very strong and concedes few goals, an average of only 0,19 per match up to this round. Another interesting data is that they usually win when they get the lead. They open up the score in 88% of the matches and have won all matches in which they score first.
 
Probable Line-up: Helton; Danilo, Maicon, Martins Indi, Alex Sandro; Casemiro, Óliver Torres, Herrera; Quaresma, Brahimi, Jackson Martínez.
 
Coach: Julen Lopetegui

Confirmed Lineup: D. Reyes, Danilo, B. Martins Indi, José Ángel, Ricardo Quaresma, Rúben Neves, Casemiro, J. Quintero, J. Martínez, Y. Brahimi.
Coach: Helton, Lopetegui.

Analysis of Penafiel

Penafiel arrives at this match after a 2-1 home win against Gil Vicente, dictating their opponent’s relegation. Up to this round, they have conquered 22 points, after 5 wins, 7 draws and 21 losses.
 
Their negative results in away matches are obvious. They have lost 63% of the matches in this condition. However, they have not conceded goals in 25% of their away matches, which is remarkable for a team in the last position of the league.
 
Penafiel concedes the most goals in the last 30’ of the second half, which is due to the teams need to win points in the last rounds, therefore exposing their defence in the last minutes.
 
Probable Line-up: Júlio Coelho; Coelho, Valente, Ustaritz, Vítor Bruno; André Fontes, João Martins, Calvente, Braga, Mbala; Aldair. 
 
Coach: Carlos Brito

Confirmed Lineup: Júlio Coelho, Ustaritz, Dani Coelho, Pedro Ribeiro, Vítor Bruno, João Martins, Bruno Braga, André Fontes, Hélder Ferreira, Rabiola, Aldair.
Coach: Carlos Brito.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this match is that FC Porto will win and not concede goals. We believe Julen Lopetegui’s team will dominate the entire match due to their overall better player quality. Moreover, Penafiel has a weak offence and is not likely to score.

NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.

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Tips
 

Primeira Liga - 2014/2015

  • 100% 306 / 306 Games

  • Home team wins 44.77%
  • Draws 27.78%
  • Away team wins 27.45%
  • Over 1.5 72.88%
  • Over 2.5 45.42%
  • Over 3.5 25.16%
  • Goals 763
  • Goals /match 2.49
  • Goals /match home 1.45
  • Goals /match away 1.04
  • Both teams score 46.41%
  • Goals after 80' 20.18%
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