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Preview:
Porto and Académica face at Estádio Do Dragão, in a match for the 14th round of the Primeira Liga. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 6 head‑to‑heads they won 5 and tied 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primeira Liga, on 18‑04‑2015, Porto won by (1‑0). Hernâni (12' ) scored the only goal of the match.

Analysis of Porto

After 10 wins and 3 draws, the home team is in the 2nd position, havinf won 33 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Nacional by (1‑2), after in the previous match they have won (2‑1) at home, against Paços de Ferreira. They come to this match after a away win against Feirense by (0‑1). For the league, Porto won 19 points out of 21 possible points, after 6 wins and 1 draw in the last 7 home matches.

In this competition, they have a sequence of 5 wins in the last matches and they haven't lost any of the last 13 matches. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 10 of the last 13 matches for the Primeira Liga, they have reached half‑time in front in 7 of those 10 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 9 of them.

FC Porto comes to this match motivated by a 0-1 away win over Feirense, in a match for the Portuguese Cup. In this match coach Julen Lopetegui will surely use the usual 4-3-3 formation, with striker Aboubakar in front to create panic amongst the Académica defence. The home team is aware that this is a low risk match, so FC Porto is likely to attack from the first minute. Moreover, Lopetegui has pretty much all players available, so there are no excuses not to win this match, given the quality difference between the two teams, coming from opposite ends of the standing table.

Confirmed Lineup: Casillas, Maicon, M. Pereira, B. Martins Indi, M. Layún, Rúben Neves, Danilo Pereira, H. Herrera, V. Aboubakar, Jesús Corona, Y. Brahimi.
Coach: José Peseiro.

Analysis of Académica

The away team is currently in the 17th position of the league, with 10 points won, after 2 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Benfica, by (3‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against Belenenses, by (4‑3). In their last match, for the Taça de Portugal, they got an away loss against Boavista by (1‑0). In the last 6 away league matches Académica has a record of 2 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 2 points out of 18 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 6 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 13 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Académica comes to this match after having been eliminated from the Portuguese Cup by Boavista. The away team hasn’t had a great league start, but they have improved in the last rounds and won a few points. In this complicated match against one of the strongest team in the league, coach Filipe Gouveia will use the usual 4-3-3 formation, with Rafael Lopes in front, since Gonçalo Paciência, under contract by FC Porto, is unavailable for this match.

Confirmed Lineup: Pedro Trigueira, Iago Santos, Aderlan, Ricardo Nascimento, R. Ofori, Pedro Nuno, Nuno Piloto, Fernando Alexandre, Rafael Lopes, Ivanildo, N. Plange.
Coach: Filipe Gouveia.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario is that there will be more than 1 goal in the 2nd half. FC Porto is likely to dominate most of the match through ball possession and create the best goal opportunities, but they usually don’t take many offensive risks, so they will attack more in the 2nd half in case they don’t score in the 1st, which is what we expect, Moreover, both teams have scored more goals in the 2nd half in the last matches.
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Tips : Porto vs Académica

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Primeira Liga - 2015/2016

  • 100% 306 / 306 Games

  • Home team wins 43.46%
  • Draws 24.84%
  • Away team wins 31.7%
  • Over 1.5 70.59%
  • Over 2.5 50.33%
  • Over 3.5 33.66%
  • Goals 831
  • Goals /match 2.72
  • Goals /match home 1.51
  • Goals /match away 1.2
  • Both teams score 48.37%
  • Goals after 80' 16.37%
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