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Preview:
Paços de Ferreira and Estoril meet at Estádio da Capital do Móvel, in a match for the 11th round of the Primeira Liga. The head‑to‑head record at this stadium couldn't be more balanced, as it shows 1 draw and 1 win for each team in the last 3 head‑to‑heads. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primeira Liga, was on 01‑12‑2014, they tied (1‑1). Paraiba (73' ) scored for Paços de Ferreira and Ruben Fernandes (49' ) for Estoril. Estoril registers significant differences between home and away results, so special attention is due to the home/away factor.

Analysis of Paços de Ferreira

The home team is currently in the 9th position of the league, with 14 points won, after 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Vitória Guimarães, by (0‑1). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Moreirense, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in away matches; against 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses at their stadium. In their last match, for the Taça de Portugal, they got a home loss against Rio Ave by (1‑2). In the last 5 home league matches Paços de Ferreira has a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, so they have won 7 points out of 15 possible. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 10 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 7 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 4 of their 8 goals between minutes (31'‑45').

Paços de Ferreira come discouraged to this match after the losses in the last three matches, against Rio Ave, Moreirense and Vitória de Guimarães. 
The home team choose the 4-2-3-1 approach giving emphasis to the ball possession and the organized attacks, when they play at home. 
The best scorer of the team is the portuguese Bruno Moreira with 7 goals. 

Confirmed Lineup: Marafona, Marco Baixinho, Bruno Santos, Ricardo, Hélder Lopes, Pelé, Romeu, Diogo Jota, Bruno Moreira, Paraiba, Fábio Martins.
Coach: Jorge Simão.

Analysis of Estoril

The away team is currently in the 8th position of the league, with 14 points won, after 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Sporting CP, by (1‑0). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Académica, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 10 goals scored and 23 conceded; against 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 24 goals scored and 14 conceded. In their last match, for the Taça de Portugal, they got an away win against Caldas by (0‑1). In the last 5 away league matches Estoril has a record of 1 win and 4 losses, so they have won 3 points out of 15 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 10 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Estoril come to this match after a 1-0 victory against Caldas to the Portugal Cup. However, the team haven't won to the championship in 4 consecutive matches. 
So, it's expected that the team do their best to take advantage from the bad moment of the home team and then come back to the victories to this competition. 
Léo Bonatini is the most capable player to make the difference in this match. He scored 6 goals in total.  

Confirmed Lineup: P. Kieszek, Yohan Tavares, Anderson Luis, Diego Carlos, Mano, Matheuzinho, Afonso Taira, Mattheus, Léo Bonatini, Gerso Fernandes, Dieguinho.
Coach: Fabiano Soares.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario to this match will be both teams score at least one goal. We believe that this will be an open match, with score opportunities for both teams because of their offensive power.
Furthermore, both teams want to recuperate the points lost in the last matches, playing a very offensive match, and with spaces in the most recessed sector.

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Tips : Paços de Ferreira vs Estoril

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Primeira Liga - 2015/2016

  • 100% 306 / 306 Games

  • Home team wins 43.46%
  • Draws 24.84%
  • Away team wins 31.7%
  • Over 1.5 70.59%
  • Over 2.5 50.33%
  • Over 3.5 33.66%
  • Goals 831
  • Goals /match 2.72
  • Goals /match home 1.51
  • Goals /match away 1.2
  • Both teams score 48.37%
  • Goals after 80' 16.37%
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