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Preview:
Paços de Ferreira and Belenenses meet at Estádio da Capital do Móvel, in a match for the 15th round of the Primeira Liga. The head‑to‑head history of the last 3 years favours the home team, since in the last 4 matches they won 3 and tied 1. The last head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 02‑03‑2015, and ended in a (0‑1) win by Paços de Ferreira.

Analysis of Paços de Ferreira

After 6 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, the home team is in the 6th position, havinf won 21 points so far. In the last match, they have tied in an away match against Sporting Braga by (1‑1), after in the previous match they have won (6‑0) at home, against União Madeira. They come to this match after a away loss against Sporting CP by (3‑1). For the league, Paços de Ferreira won 13 points out of 21 possible points, after 4 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in the last 7 home matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 6 of their 14 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 9 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 4 of their 8 goals between minutes (31'‑45').

Paços de Ferreira come discouraged to this match after a 3-1 defeat, against Sporting, for the first fixture of the Portuguese League Cup's group stage. Diogo Jota is the revelation of the home team's midfield. This player, despite younger, is the player with more minutes at the central area of the field, this season. 
Fábio Martins, ex-player of Braga, is the most offensive reference of the visiting team. Conscious about the lack of quality of this opponent, Paços de Ferreira will probably risk a bit more, to try to reach a comfortable result as soon as possible. 

Confirmed Lineup: Marafona, Bruno Santos, Ricardo, Marco Baixinho, Hélder Lopes, Andrézinho, Romeu, Christian, Diogo Jota, B. Osei, Bruno Moreira.
Coach: Jorge Simão.

Analysis of Belenenses

The away team is currently in the 12th position of the league, with 16 points won, after 4 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Académica, by (4‑3). In the last match, they won in a home match against Boavista, by (1‑0). In their last match, for the Taça da Liga, they got an away loss against Sporting Braga by (2‑1). In the last 7 away league matches Belenenses has a record of 2 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 2 points out of 21 possible.

In this competition, they have a sequence of 4 losses in the last away matches and they haven't won any of the last 7 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 14 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Belenenses come discouraged to this match after a 2-1 defeat, away, against Braga, for the first round of the Portuguese League Cup group stage. The portuguese Luís Leal is the offensive reference of the home team. The players responsible to help the centre forward are Sturgeon and Kuca. The last one is really faster. The portuguese André Alexandre is the midfielder responsible to create offensive approaches of his team, trying to define the bids in the best way. 

Confirmed Lineup: Hugo Ventura, Filipe Ferreira, Geraldes, João Afonso, Gonçalo Brandão, Ricardo Dias, Carlos Martins, André Sousa, Kuca, Tiago Caeiro, Sturgeon.
Coach: Julio Velázquez.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario to this match is that Paços de Ferreira will win. Despite the plays of Paços don't be amazing, the team usually do good exhibitions, as they did in the penultimate round, against União da Madeira. So, it's foreseen that the players of Jorge Simão come to this match with defined goals, searching to score since the first minute. 
So, it's expected that Paços de Ferreira will conquer the three points this match. 

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Tips : Paços de Ferreira vs Belenenses

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Primeira Liga - 2015/2016

  • 100% 306 / 306 Games

  • Home team wins 43.46%
  • Draws 24.84%
  • Away team wins 31.7%
  • Over 1.5 70.59%
  • Over 2.5 50.33%
  • Over 3.5 33.66%
  • Goals 831
  • Goals /match 2.72
  • Goals /match home 1.51
  • Goals /match away 1.2
  • Both teams score 48.37%
  • Goals after 80' 16.37%
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