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Nacional vs Porto

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Nacional and Porto face at Estádio da Madeira, in a match for the 13th round of the Primeira Liga. The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 6 head‑to‑heads they won 4, tied 1 and lost 1. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primeira Liga, played on 21‑03‑2015, they tied (1‑1). Wagner (62' ) scored for Nacional and Tello (45' ) for Porto. Nacional registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

Analysis of Nacional

After 4 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, the home team is in the 10th position, havinf won 15 points so far. In the last match, they have tied in an away match against Estoril by (1‑1), after in the previous match they have won (3‑1) at home, against Marítimo. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in away matches; against 11 wins and 4 draws at their stadium.

They haven’t lost any of the last 5 home matches for this competition. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 5 of their 12 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around.

Nacional is still recovering from a bad start of season and at the moment they don't loose at four matches. Now, against an opponent they use to get good results, the manager Manuel Machado should play with an organized defence and then try to explore the counter attack. Salvador Agra is very important in that style of play. Gottardi is the only relevant player out of this match.

Confirmed Lineup: Rui Silva, Rui Correia, Nuno Campos, Zainadine Junior, João Aurélio, Sequeira, Ali Ghazal, Washington Santana, Tiquinho, Willyan, Salvador Agra.
Coach: Manuel Machado.

Analysis of Porto

The away team is currently in the 2nd position of the league, with 30 points won, after 9 wins and 3 draws. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against União Madeira, by (0‑4). In the last match, they won in a home match against Paços de Ferreira, by (2‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 28 goals scored and 12 conceded; against 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 4 conceded. In their last match, for the UEFA Champions League, they got an away loss against Chelsea by (2‑0). In the last 5 away league matches Porto has a record of 3 wins and 2 draws, so they have won 11 points out of 15 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 5 away matches. Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they have only conceded goals in 3 of the last 10 matches, and their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 9 of the last 12 matches for the Primeira Liga, they have reached half‑time in front in 6 of those 9 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 8 of them.

Julen Lopetegui's team comes to this match after loosing at Chelsea in a bad match: this was their second loss of the season - both at Champions League. Into this match, FC Porto should play offensively, not only to win, but also to satisfy his fans. Vincent Aboubakar is the main scorer of the team but he is at an irregular moment. André André is still a doubt to this match because of phisycal issues.

Confirmed Lineup: Casillas, B. Martins Indi, M. Pereira, Ivan Marcano, M. Layún, Danilo Pereira, Rúben Neves, H. Herrera, V. Aboubakar, Y. Brahimi, Jesús Corona.
Coach: José Peseiro.

Betting suggestion:

Match between two teams very similar in this particular situation, in other words both of them are invincible in this condiiton. So, we have to believe that a Draw at Half Time could represent great value.

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Tips : Nacional vs Porto

Forum comments


Primeira Liga - 2015/2016

  • 100% 306 / 306 Games

  • Home team wins 43.46%
  • Draws 24.84%
  • Away team wins 31.7%
  • Over 1.5 70.59%
  • Over 2.5 50.33%
  • Over 3.5 33.66%
  • Goals 831
  • Goals /match 2.72
  • Goals /match home 1.51
  • Goals /match away 1.2
  • Both teams score 48.37%
  • Goals after 80' 16.37%
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