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Preview:
Nacional and Marítimo meet at Estádio da Madeira, in a match for the 11th round of the Primeira Liga. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 3 and tied 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primeira Liga, on 08‑12‑2014, Nacional won by (3‑0). Willyan (53' ) and Marco Matias (74' and 86' ) scored the goals of the match for Nacional. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 12th and 7th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 9th best team in home matches and the 10th best in away matches.

Analysis of Nacional

After 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, the home team is in the 12th position, havinf won 11 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Vitória Guimarães by (0‑1), after in the previous match they have lost (1‑0) an away match against Rio Ave. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 3 points in away matches, with 3 goals scored and 8 conceded, against 8 points won at their stadium, with 4 goals scored and 1 conceded. In their last match, for the Taça de Portugal, they got a home win against Cova Piedade by (5‑0). In the last 4 home league matches Nacional has a record of 2 wins and 2 draws, so they have won 8 points out of 12 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 4 home matches. In 10 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

The team led by Manuel Machado come to this match after a victory at home, against Cova Piedade, conquering the second consecutive victory in official matches.
In this match against Marítimo, it will be expected that Nacional choose to use the usual 4-4-2, with Tiquinho Soares and willyan as the forward players of the team. The centre forward Tiquinho Soares is the best scorer with 7 goals in total. 
To note that the captain João Aurélio saw the fifth yellow card and can't play in this match.

Confirmed Lineup: Rui Silva, Zainadine Junior, Rui Correia, Nuno Campos, Sequeira, Ali Ghazal, Washington Santana, Witi, Salvador Agra, Willyan, Tiquinho.
Coach: Manuel Machado.

Analysis of Marítimo

The away team is currently in the 7th position of the league, with 14 points won, after 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Boavista, by (0‑1). In the last match, they won in a home match against Rio Ave, by (3‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 4 points in away matches and 10 points at their stadium, with 10 goals scored and 7 goals conceded at home, against 4 goals scored and 9 conceded in away matches. In their last match, for the Taça de Portugal, they got an away loss against Amarante by (1‑0). In the last 5 away league matches Marítimo has a record of 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, so they have won 4 points out of 15 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 10 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 9 away matches for all competitions there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 3 of their 8 goals between minutes (16'‑30') and 3 of their 8 goals between (31'‑45').

Marítimo come discouraged to this match after a defeat, by 1-0, against Amarante, a team from the National Seniors Championship. 
It's expected that the coach put on the pitch the best weapons to make forget the most gray moment of the season. 
Without big absences to this match, to most capable player to decide the match is the centre forward Dyego sousa. He is the best team scorer with 6 goals.

Confirmed Lineup: R. Salin, Patrick, Rúben Ferreira, Dirceu, João Diogo, Raúl Silva, Tiago Rodrigues, Éber, Fransérgio, Edgar Costa, Dyego Sousa.
Coach: Nelo Vingada.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario to this match will be the National don't lose.
The necessity to conquer points in this match is really big, once that the points conquering makes the team to get closer from the above places in the classifying chart.
Therefore, it's foreseen that the National come really motivated to conquer a good result in this match, taking advantage from the less good moment of Marítimo away home.

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NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.

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Tips : Nacional vs Marítimo

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Primeira Liga - 2015/2016

  • 100% 306 / 306 Games

  • Home team wins 43.46%
  • Draws 24.84%
  • Away team wins 31.7%
  • Over 1.5 70.59%
  • Over 2.5 50.33%
  • Over 3.5 33.66%
  • Goals 831
  • Goals /match 2.72
  • Goals /match home 1.51
  • Goals /match away 1.2
  • Both teams score 48.37%
  • Goals after 80' 16.37%
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