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Preview:
Nacional and Arouca face at Estádio da Madeira, in a match for the 15th round of the Primeira Liga. In 5 head‑to‑heads in the last 3 years, the away team won 2, tied 2 and lost 1. The last head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 08‑02‑2015, and ended in a draw by (3‑3). Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis of Nacional

After 4 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses, the home team is in the 13th position, havinf won 15 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Moreirense by (2‑0), after in the previous match they have lost (1‑2) at home, against Porto. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in away matches; against 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss at their stadium. They come to this match after a away loss against Benfica by (1‑0). For the league, Nacional won 11 points out of 18 possible points, after 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last 6 home matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 14 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Nacional come discouraged to this match after 5 consecutive matches without winning. So, it's foreseen that the team led by Manuel Machado will play in an offensive way to turn back to the victories' path. Nacional show great quality in the defense-attack transition. Willyam is a very faster and technically skilled player.
To this match, Salvador Agra and João Aurélio are in doubt by physical problems.

Confirmed Lineup: Rui Silva, João Aurélio, Zainadine Junior, Rui Correia, Sequeira, Edgar Abreu, Ali Ghazal, Nenê Bonilha, Salvador Agra, Tiquinho, Willyan.
Coach: Manuel Machado.

Analysis of Arouca

The away team is currently in the 8th position of the league, with 19 points won, after 4 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Rio Ave, by (3‑1). In the last match, they won in a home match against Marítimo, by (4‑1). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 14 goals scored and 14 conceded; against 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 18 goals scored and 16 conceded. In their last match, for the Taça da Liga, they got an away loss against Portimonense by (4‑1). In the last 7 away league matches Arouca has a record of 1 win, 5 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 8 points out of 21 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 6 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 18 of the last 24 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 14 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Arouca come discouraged to this match after the 4-1 defeat against Portimonense. So, the coach Lito Vidigal will choose a defensive approach and based on the counterattack, to take advantage from the opponent back space. However, it's important to note that Maurides is the best visiting team scorer with 6 goals scored. Nuno Coelho won't play this match by suspension. 

Confirmed Lineup: Rafael Bracalli, Lucas Lima, Jaílson , J. Velázquez, Hugo Basto, Artur Moreira, Nuno Coelho, David Simão, Zequinha, Maurides, Ivo Rodrigues.
Coach: Lito Vidigal.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario to this match is that Nacional will win. Despite don't win for 5 consecutive matches, we believe that Nacional will take advantage from the bad moment and from the lack of opponent's weapons to go back to the victories path. So, it's foreseen that Nacional will have more initiative of game and will take advantage from the best opportunities to win the match. 

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Tips : Nacional vs Arouca

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Primeira Liga - 2015/2016

  • 100% 306 / 306 Games

  • Home team wins 43.46%
  • Draws 24.84%
  • Away team wins 31.7%
  • Over 1.5 70.59%
  • Over 2.5 50.33%
  • Over 3.5 33.66%
  • Goals 831
  • Goals /match 2.72
  • Goals /match home 1.51
  • Goals /match away 1.2
  • Both teams score 48.37%
  • Goals after 80' 16.37%
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