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Moreirense and Vitória Guimarães meet at Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Fr, in a match for the 16th round of the Primeira Liga. The recent head‑to‑head record favours the away team, since they have a record of 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 6 matches. The last head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 11‑04‑2015, and ended in a (2‑1) win by Moreirense. Although this is a match between 11th and 9th of the league table, it’s actually a match between the 15th best in home matches and the 6th best in away matches.

Analysis of Moreirense

After 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses, the home team is in the 11th position, havinf won 17 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Boavista by (0‑3), after in the previous match they have won (2‑0) at home, against Nacional. This is a team that maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since they have had similar results in both conditions. For the league, Moreirense won 9 points out of 21 possible points, after 2 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 7 home matches. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (3 out of 7 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 13 of the last 20 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 15 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have never been able to turn the score around. there are 2 periods that stand out in the last 9 home matches for all competitions: they have scored 3 of their 7 goals between minutes (76'‑90'); they have suffered 3 of their 6 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Moreirense comes to this match after a 0-3 away win over Boavista. Midfielder Vítor Gomes is suspended, after having accumulated 5 yellow cards. Young Iuri Medeiros is a key player in offense and is usually able to create spaces for his teammates. He has scored 4 goals this season. Against a stronger opponent, coach Miguel Leal’s team should present a defensive strategy and try to exploit any mistakes by the away team.

Confirmed Lineup: I. Stefanović, Marcelo Oliveira, P. Sagna, Danielson, Evaldo, Filipe Gonçalves, Ença Fati, João Palhinha, André Fontes, Rafael Martins, Iuri Medeiros.
Coach: Miguel Leal.

Analysis of Vitória Guimarães

The away team is currently in the 9th position of the league, with 19 points won, after 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Estoril, by (0‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Benfica, by (0‑1). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 11 points in away matches and 8 at their stadium, with 9 goals scored and 10 goals conceded at home, against 7 goals scored and 11 goals conceded in away matches. In the last 7 away league matches Vitória Guimarães has a record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 11 points out of 21 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 15 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

Vitória de Guimarães comes to this match after a 0-1 home loss against Benfica. The away team has had problems creating goal opportunities and finishing offensive moves. Their best scorer, Henrique Dourado, has only scored 4 goals. The away team usually plays in a 4-3-3 formation, with 3 players responsible for trying to reach the opponent goal: Licá, Henrique Dourado and Valente.

Confirmed Lineup: João Miguel , João Afonso, Bruno Gaspar, Pedrão, Luís Rocha, Cafú, B. Saré, Otavinho, Henrique Dourado, Licá, Valente.
Coach: Sérgio Conceição.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario is that both teams will score at least one goal, since they nedd a good result in this round. Therefore, we expect a match played at a good pace and a few goal opportunities. Moreover, both teams have had a interesting exhibitions in the last matches.
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Tips : Moreirense vs Vitória Guimarães

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Primeira Liga - 2015/2016

  • 100% 306 / 306 Games

  • Home team wins 43.46%
  • Draws 24.84%
  • Away team wins 31.7%
  • Over 1.5 70.59%
  • Over 2.5 50.33%
  • Over 3.5 33.66%
  • Goals 831
  • Goals /match 2.72
  • Goals /match home 1.51
  • Goals /match away 1.2
  • Both teams score 48.37%
  • Goals after 80' 16.37%
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