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Preview:
Belenenses and Nacional meet at Estádio do Restelo, in a match for the 16th round of the Primeira Liga. In 5 head‑to‑heads in the last 3 years, the away team won 4 and lost 1. The last head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 21‑07‑2015, and ended in a (0‑1) win by Nacional. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 13th and 14th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 7th best team in home matches and the 15th best in away matches.

Analysis of Belenenses

The home team is currently in the 13th position of the league, with 17 points won, after 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Boavista, by (1‑0). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Paços de Ferreira, by (2‑2). This is a team that usually plays better at home, where they have won 14 points, against only 3 points in away matches. For the league, Belenenses won 14 points out of 21 possible points, after 4 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last 7 home matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 15 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Belenenses comes to this match motivated by the latest positive results for the league, since they haven’t lost any of the last 2 matches. Coach Julio Velázquez should organize his team in the usual 4-2-3-1 formation, with Tiago Caeiro in front, the best scorer of the team, with 6 goals scored. It’s worth noticing that their most creative player is suspended: Carlos Martins saw a red card in the last match against Paços de Ferreira.

Confirmed Lineup: Hugo Ventura, Filipe Ferreira, Geraldes, Gonçalo Brandão, João Afonso, Tiago Silva, Ricardo Dias, André Sousa, Sturgeon, Kuca, Tiago Caeiro.
Coach: Julio Velázquez.

Analysis of Nacional

The away team is currently in the 14th position of the league, with 16 points won, after 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Moreirense, by (2‑0). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Arouca, by (2‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 4 points in away matches and 12 points at their stadium, with 10 goals scored and 6 goals conceded at home, against 4 goals scored and 11 conceded in away matches. In the last 8 away league matches Nacional has a record of 1 win, 1 draw and 6 losses, so they have won 4 points out of 24 possible. In their away matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 0‑0 (4 out of 8 matches) and after the 90' 1‑0 (3 out of 8 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 6 of the last 8 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 15 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 7 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 3 of their 6 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Nacional da Madeira is going through a complicated period and hasn’t won any of the last 6 matches. In this match coach Manuel Machado should play in the usual 4-3-3 formation, privileging defensive organization and counterattacks: Agra and Willyan are fast players and are usually fundamental in the team’s offensive transitions. Tiquinho Soares is the best scorer of the team, with 8 goals scored. The coach has almost all players available for this match.

Confirmed Lineup: Gottardi, João Aurélio, Miguel Rodrigues, B. Fofana, Zainadine Junior, Sequeira, Luís Aurélio, Washington Santana, Salvador Agra, Witi, Gustavo.
Coach: Manuel Machado.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario is that both teams will score at least one goal, given the head to head record and the offensive quality of both teams. Moreover, we expect them to play offensive and contribute for an open match with many goal opportunities.
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Tips : Belenenses vs Nacional

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Primeira Liga - 2015/2016

  • 100% 306 / 306 Games

  • Home team wins 43.46%
  • Draws 24.84%
  • Away team wins 31.7%
  • Over 1.5 70.59%
  • Over 2.5 50.33%
  • Over 3.5 33.66%
  • Goals 831
  • Goals /match 2.72
  • Goals /match home 1.51
  • Goals /match away 1.2
  • Both teams score 48.37%
  • Goals after 80' 16.37%
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