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Preview:
Arouca and Estoril meet at Estádio Municipal de Arouca, in a match for the 16th round of the Primeira Liga. The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 2 and tied 2. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primeira Liga, played on 18‑08‑2014, they tied (1‑1). Pintassilgo (16' ) scored for Arouca and Kuca (31' ) for Estoril. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis of Arouca

The home team is currently in the 8th position of the league, with 20 points won, after 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Marítimo, by (4‑1). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Nacional, by (2‑2). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 15 goals scored and 15 conceded; against 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 18 goals scored and 16 conceded. In the last 7 home league matches Arouca has a record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 11 points out of 21 possible. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 7 of their 15 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 9 home matches for all competitions: they have scored 6 of their 12 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Arouca comes to this match after a 2-2 away draw against Nacional. Despite the interesting results in the last matches, Arouca has had problems in many processes. Ivo Rodrigues is the main offensive reference of the team, but he has had a few efficiency problems. Nuno Valente stands out in the midfield through his creativity.

Confirmed Lineup: Rafael Bracalli, Lucas Lima, J. Velázquez, Hugo Basto, Jaílson , Artur Moreira, Nuno Coelho, David Simão, Nuno Valente, Maurides, Ivo Rodrigues.
Coach: Lito Vidigal.

Analysis of Estoril

The away team is currently in the 12th position of the league, with 17 points won, after 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Vitória Guimarães, by (0‑1). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Marítimo, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 8 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 21 goals scored and 10 conceded. In the last 8 away league matches Estoril has a record of 1 win, 2 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 5 points out of 24 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 5 away matches. In their away league matches there are a few frequent results at half‑time: 1‑0 (3 out of 8 matches) and 0‑0 (4 out of 8 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 7 of the last 8 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 15 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Estoril comes to this match motivated by a 1-1 away draw against Marítimo. Diogo Amado is the main offensive reference in the centre of the midfield. He is technically evolved and presents great passing ability. . Brazilian Léo Bonatini is the best scorer of the team, with 8 goals this season.

Confirmed Lineup: P. Kieszek, Yohan Tavares, Mano, Anderson Luis, Diego Carlos, Mattheus, A. Esiti, Diogo Amado, Afonso Taira, Gerso Fernandes, Léo Bonatini.
Coach: Fabiano Soares.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario is that Estoril won’t win. Arouca has the home advantage and has more tactical and individual arguments. Therefore, the home team should keep the good results record at home and get a positive result. Moreover, Estoril has only won a single away match this season.
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Tips : Arouca vs Estoril

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Primeira Liga - 2015/2016

  • 100% 306 / 306 Games

  • Home team wins 43.46%
  • Draws 24.84%
  • Away team wins 31.7%
  • Over 1.5 70.59%
  • Over 2.5 50.33%
  • Over 3.5 33.66%
  • Goals 831
  • Goals /match 2.72
  • Goals /match home 1.51
  • Goals /match away 1.2
  • Both teams score 48.37%
  • Goals after 80' 16.37%
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