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Genoa Milan betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this match is the triumph of AC Milan and the existence of several goals. Even away, AC Milan should push Genoa into their midfield, dominating possession and creating the best chances for goals. On the other hand, the home team should only choose to counterattack, making this game very open and with chances of goals. Thus, it is interesting to risk in favor of AC Milan and several goals in this match.
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Preview
Genoa and Milan meet at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, in a match for the 12th round of the Serie A. The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 3 and lost 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Serie A, on 05‑10‑2019, Milan won by (1‑2). L. Schöne (41' ) scored for Genoa and F. Kessié (57' ) and T. Hernández (51' ) for Milan. Milan registers significant differences between home and away results, so special attention is due to the home/away factor.

Analysis Genoa

After 1 win, 3 draws and 7 losses, the home team is in the 19th position, havinf won 6 points so far. In the last match, they have lost at home against Juventus by (1‑3), after in the previous match they have tied (1‑1) an away match against Fiorentina. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 27 conceded; against 7 wins and 8 losses at their stadium, with 23 goals scored and 25 conceded. In the last 6 home league matches Genoa has a record of 1 win and 5 losses, so they have won 3 points out of 18 possible.

In this competition, they have a sequence of 5 losses in the last home matches and they haven't won any of the last 10 matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 17 of the last 20 have ended with Over 2,5 goals. They haven't been able to score the first goal. In fact, they have only opened up the score in 2 of the last 11 matches for the Serie A, they have reached half‑time in advantage in 1 of those 2 matches and have held on to the lead in 1. They have conceded the first goal in 8 of their 11 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 8 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 5 of their 14 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Genoa's side for this match was demoralized after the defeat, by 1-3, against Juventus, thus adding the fifth defeat in the last six matches in Serie A. In this challenge against AC Milan, coach Rolando Maran should keep the team in 4-4-2 with the most advanced positions occupied by Gianluca Scamacca and Marko Pjaca: the second athlete mentioned is Genoa's highlight with 3 goals scored. For this match, the home coach cannot count on Davide Zappacosta, Cristian Zapata, Francesco Cassata, Domenico Criscito, Davide Biraschi and Mattia Perin, all injured.

Confirmed Lineup: Mattia Perin, Mattia Bani, Luca Pellegrini, Edoardo Goldaniga, Andrea Masiello, Lukas Lerager, Stefano Sturaro, Paolo Ghiglione, Mattia Destro, Eldor Shomurodov, Marko Pjaca.
Coach: A. Blessin.

Analysis Milan

The away team is currently in the 1st position of the league, with 27 points won, after 8 wins and 3 draws. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Sampdoria, by (1‑2). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Parma, by (2‑2). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 11 wins and 4 draws in away matches, with 32 goals scored and 13 conceded; against 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 43 goals scored and 19 conceded.

In this competition, they have a sequence of 5 wins in the last away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 19 of the last 22 matches have ended with Over 1,5 goals. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 9 of the last 11 matches for the Serie A, they have reached half‑time in front in 7 of those 9 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 8 of them.

The AC Milan team starts for this match with a draw, 2-2, in the reception to Parma, continuing this way without losing in the Italian championship: the two goals of the team were signed by Theo Hernández. Now in this round against Genoa, coach Stefano Pioli should keep the team in 4-3-3, privileging the maintenance of ball possession and organized attacks: Turkish Hakan Calhanoglu is the great organizer of the offensive process. Zlatan Ibrahimovic is the best scorer of this AC Milan team with 10 goals scored, however, he is in doubt for this match. Mateo Musacchio is out of this match due to physical problems.

Confirmed Lineup: Gianluigi Donnarumma, Davide Calabria, Pierre Kalulu Kyatengwa, Alessio Romagnoli, Diogo Dalot, Sandro Tonali, Samu Castillejo, Hakan Çalhanoğlu, Franck Kessié, Rafael Leão, Ante Rebić.
Coach: S. Pioli.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Genoa vs Milan match, on 16 December 2020, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Milan wins and Over 2,5 goals ⇒ bet available on 10bet.

The Genoa vs Milan on 16 December 2020 will be played at Genova, Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Online Betting Academy, for the Genoa Milan match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Milan at with 94% of the tips.

 

Serie A - 2020/2021

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 41.05%
  • Draws 25.26%
  • Away team wins 33.68%
  • Over 1.5 83.16%
  • Over 2.5 56.84%
  • Over 3.5 36.32%
  • Goals 1163
  • Goals /match 3.06
  • Goals /match home 1.63
  • Goals /match away 1.43
  • Both teams score 59.74%
  • Goals after 80' 14.62%
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