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Roma vs Genoa

Roma
Roma
  • 2 - 0
  • Played

Genoa

Preview:
Roma and Genoa face at Stadio Olimpico, in a match for the 17th round of the Serie A. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 4. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Serie A, on 03‑05‑2015, Roma won by (2‑0). S. Doumbia (35' ) and A. Florenzi (90' ) scored the goals of the match for Roma. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis of Roma

The home team is currently in the 5th position of the league, with 29 points won, after 8 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Torino, by (1‑1). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Napoli, by (0‑0). This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in away matches; against 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses at their stadium. They come to this match after a home loss against Spezia by (2‑4), after a penalty shootout. For the league, Roma won 16 points out of 21 possible points, after 5 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 7 home matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 6 of their 16 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around.

Roma is going through a crisis of results: they haven’t won any of the last 7 matches and were eliminated from the Italian Cup by modest Spezia. In this match the home team coach should present an offensive strategy, with Salah, Falqué and Dzeko in front. Miralem Pjanic is the best scorer of the team, with 9 goals scored. Keita, Gervinho, Torosidis, Totti and Strootman are injured and will not be playing in this match.

Confirmed Lineup: W. Szczęsny, L. Digne, K. Manolas, A. Rüdiger, A. Florenzi, R. Nainggolan, D. De Rossi, Mohamed Salah, M. Pjanić, E. Džeko, Y. Gervinho.
Coach: L. Spalletti.

Analysis of Genoa

The away team is currently in the 17th position of the league, with 16 points won, after 4 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Internazionale, by (1‑0). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Bologna, by (0‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 16 goals scored and 23 conceded; against 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 25 goals scored and 13 conceded. In their last match, for the Coppa Italia, they got a home loss against Alessandria by (1‑2) after extended time. In the last 8 away league matches Genoa has a record of 3 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 3 points out of 24 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 8 away matches. In their away matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 0‑0 (4 out of 8 matches) and after the 90' 1‑0 (3 out of 8 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 6 of the last 8 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 9 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 5 of their 13 goals between minutes (31'‑45').

As their opponents, Genoa is going through a crisis of results: in the last match they lost against modest Alessandria after extended time. Coach Gian Piero Gasperini should use a 3-5-2 formation, privileging counterattacks to try to surprise Roma. Gakpé is one of the best scorers of the team, with 3 goals scored. Leonardo Pavoletti and Donnarumma are suspended, while Dzemaili, Marchese, Perotti and Muñoz are unavailable, due to injuries.

Confirmed Lineup: M. Perin, S. De Maio, E. Muñoz, A. Izzo, C. Ansaldi, P. Tachtsidis , O. Ntcham, T. Rincón, D. Laxalt, Capel, S. Gakpé.
Coach: G. Gasperini.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario is that there will more than 2 goals. We expect an open match, dominated by Roma, with the home team creating the best goal opportunities. Therefore, as in the last match, there should be a few goals in the final score.
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Serie A - 2015/2016

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 46.05%
  • Draws 25%
  • Away team wins 28.95%
  • Over 1.5 73.16%
  • Over 2.5 47.37%
  • Over 3.5 27.37%
  • Goals 979
  • Goals /match 2.58
  • Goals /match home 1.47
  • Goals /match away 1.11
  • Both teams score 51.05%
  • Goals after 80' 17.16%
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