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Milan vs Sampdoria

Milan
Milan
  • 4 - 1
  • Played

Sampdoria

Preview:
Milan and Sampdoria face at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, in a match for the 14th round of the Serie A. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 4 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 12‑04‑2015, in a match for the Serie A, they tied (1‑1). The goals of the match were scored by N. de Jong (74' ), for Milan, and by R. Soriano (58' ), for Sampdoria. The home advantage may play an important role in this match , since Milan presents significant differences between home and away results.

Analysis of Milan

After 6 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, the home team is in the 7th position, havinf won 20 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Juventus by (1‑0), after in the previous match they have tied (0‑0) at home, against Atalanta. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in away matches; against 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses at their stadium. For the league, Milan won 13 points out of 18 possible points, after 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 6 home matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 13 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

AC Milan comes to this match after a 1-0 loss against Juventus, so they have put an end to a positive 5 matches with no losses sequence for the Italian league. Coach Sinisa Mihajlovic should organize his team in a 4-3-3 formation, with Bacca in front. The Colombian is the best scorer of the team, with a total of 6 goals scored this season. However, the coach will have to deal with the absences of Bertolacci, Diego López, Nigel de Jong, Balotelli and Jérémy Ménez.

Confirmed Lineup: G. Donnarumma, Alex, I. Abate, A. Romagnoli, L. Antonelli, G. Bonaventura, J. Kucka, R. Montolivo, M. Niang, C. Bacca, A. Cerci.
Coach: C. Brocchi.

Analysis of Sampdoria

The away team is currently in the 12th position of the league, with 16 points won, after 4 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Fiorentina, by (0‑2). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Udinese, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 20 goals scored and 22 conceded; against 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 22 goals scored and 18 conceded. In the last 6 away league matches Sampdoria has a record of 2 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 2 points out of 18 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 6 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 13 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Sampdoria is going through a negative form moment and in the last 10 league matches has only managed to win 2. Moreover, coach Vincenzo Montella will have to cope with the absences of Mesbah, Krsticic, Correa and Andrea Coda, injured, and Zukanovic, the usual felt winger, who has been suspended. Therefore, Sampdoria should play defensively and try to surprise Milan in counterattacks, to try to get at least 1 point.

Confirmed Lineup: E. Viviano, M. Silvestre, L. De Silvestri, V. Regini, D. Mesbah, D. Ivan, É. Barreto, Fernando, R. Soriano, L. Muriel, E. Martins.
Coach: V. Montella.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario is that AC Milan will win. We believe the home team easily, not only due to the home advantage, but also because of the need to win points to recover the difference to the league leader. Moreover, the away team is going through a negative moment and doesn’t seem to have the necessary arguments to avoid losing.
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Tips : Milan vs Sampdoria

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Serie A - 2015/2016

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 46.05%
  • Draws 25%
  • Away team wins 28.95%
  • Over 1.5 73.16%
  • Over 2.5 47.37%
  • Over 3.5 27.37%
  • Goals 979
  • Goals /match 2.58
  • Goals /match home 1.47
  • Goals /match away 1.11
  • Both teams score 51.05%
  • Goals after 80' 17.16%
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