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Lazio VS Milan

Lazio vs Milan

Lazio
Lazio
  • 1 - 1
  • Played

Milan


Preview
Lazio and Milan meet at Stadio Olimpico, in a match for the 13th round of the Serie A. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 6 head‑to‑heads they won 2, tied 3 and lost 1. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Coppa Italia, on 28‑02‑2018, Milan won by (4‑5), after a penalti shootout. Milan registers significant differences between home and away results, so special attention is due to the home/away factor.

Analysis of Lazio

After 7 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, the home team is in the 4th position, havinf won 22 points so far. In the last match, they have tied in an away match against Sassuolo by (1‑1), after in the previous match they have won (4‑1) at home, against SPAL. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in away matches; against 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses at their stadium. For the league, Lazio won 12 points out of 18 possible points, after 4 wins and 2 losses in the last 6 home matches. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 20 of the last 30 have ended with Over 2,5 goals. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 9 of the last 12 matches for the Serie A, they have reached half‑time in front in 3 of those 9 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 7 of them.

Lazio comes for this after a 1-1 draw at Sassuolo ground: the only goal of the team was scored by Parolo. Playing at home, the home team has 4 wins in 6 matches. Coach Simone Inzaghi usually plays in a traditional 3-5-2, favoring a faster playing style, of constant transitions, attacking, preferably, through the flanks. It should be noted that in this drawing the two forward players are Immobile and Luis Alberto: the first athlete is Lazio's top scorer with 8 scored goals. There are no major absences for this match.

Confirmed Lineup: T. Strakosha, Wallace, A. Marušić, F. Acerbi, Ş. Radu, Luis Alberto, S. Lulić, M. Parolo, M. Badelj, S. Milinković-Savić, C. Immobile.
Coach: S. Inzaghi.

Analysis of Milan

The away team is currently in the 5th position of the league, with 21 points won, after 6 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Udinese, by (0‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Juventus, by (0‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 17 goals scored and 22 conceded; against 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 29 goals scored and 16 conceded. In the last 6 away league matches Milan has a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 8 points out of 18 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 9 of the last 12 matches for the Serie A, they have reached half‑time in front in 7 of those 9 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 6 of them.

AC Milan comes unmotivated for this fixture after a 0-2 home defeat against the leader Juventus, putting an end to their three consecutive wins in this competition. Unlike the "enemy" of this round, AC Milan usually works in a 4-4-2 scheme, where the two forward players are Borini and Cutrone. The visiting team when they invest in the offensive process usually do it through the right flank, taking advantage of the speed offered by the winger Suso. Note that the top scorer of the team, Gonzalo Higuaín with 5 goals, is absent from this match due to punishment. Besides this player, the coach won’t count on Romagnoli, Bonaventura, Musacchio, Biglia and Caldara, all with physical problems.

Confirmed Lineup: G. Donnarumma, C. Zapata, D. Calabria, I. Abate, R. Rodríguez, F. Kessié, T. Bakayoko, P. Cutrone, Suso, F. Borini, H. Çalhanoğlu.
Coach: G. Gattuso.

Betting suggestion:

The market we recommend for this match is Lazio's triumph. In addition to playing at home, the home team is in an excellent stage and holds a superior team to the adversary of this fixture. AC Milan, by their turn, has some gaps in their playing style, apart from the fact that they don’t count on their best player, Higuaín, which will be fundamental in this match. So, risking in favor of the home team’s victory is full of value.
NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.

Markets
Match Odds 37 Place your bet
Lazio 57%
1.8
The Draw 27%
3.95
AC Milan 16%
5.3
Over/Under 2.5 goals 17 Place your bet
Under 2.5 Goals 6%
2.14
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
1.86
Half Time 6 Place your bet
Lazio 33%
2.6
AC Milan 42%
5.3
The Draw 25%
2.36
First Half Goals 1 Place your bet
Under 0.5 Goals 100%
3.25
Over 0.5 Goals 0% 1.4
Over/Under 1.5 Goals 12 Place your bet
Under 1.5 Goals 0% 4.5
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
1.28
Over/Under 3.5 Goals 3 Place your bet
Under 3.5 Goals 100%
1.45
Over 3.5 Goals 0% 3.15
Over/Under 4.5 Goals 2 Place your bet
Under 4.5 Goals 100%
1.17
Over 4.5 Goals 0% 6.4
Over/Under 0.5 Goals 3 Place your bet
Under 0.5 Goals 0% 15
Over 0.5 Goals 100%
1.06
Over/Under 5.5 Goals 3 Place your bet
Under 5.5 Goals 100%
1.06
Over 5.5 Goals 0% 14
Over/Under 6.5 Goals 1 Place your bet
Over 6.5 Goals 0% 34
Under 6.5 Goals 100%
1.02
Both teams to Score? 23 Place your bet
Yes 96%
1.78
No 4%
2.28
First Half Goals 1.5 2 Place your bet
Over 1.5 Goals 0% 2.75
Under 1.5 Goals 100%
1.47
Note: On the graphics, the lay Tips were converted to Back on the other choices of that market.

Tips
Note: Listing of Tips made only in contests available at the Online Betting Academy.

Forum comments

 

Serie A - 2018/2019

  • 52% 198 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 42.93%
  • Draws 30.3%
  • Away team wins 26.77%
  • Over 1.5 73.74%
  • Over 2.5 48.99%
  • Over 3.5 29.8%
  • Goals 525
  • Goals /match 2.65
  • Goals /match home 1.46
  • Goals /match away 1.19
  • Both teams score 51.52%
  • Goals after 80' 17.14%
View all
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