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Fiorentina vs Empoli

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
  • 2 - 2
  • Played

Empoli

Preview:
Fiorentina and Empoli meet at Stadio Artemio Franchi, in a match for the 13th round of the Serie A. The head‑to‑head history of the last 3 years favours the home team, since in the last 3 matches they won 2 and tied 1. The last head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 10‑05‑2015, and ended in a (2‑3) win by Fiorentina. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 1st and 13th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 3rd best team in home matches and the 8th best in away matches.

Analysis of Fiorentina

After 9 wins and 3 losses, the home team is in the 1st position, havinf won 27 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Sampdoria by (0‑2), after in the previous match they have won (4‑1) at home, against Frosinone. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since they have won 12 points in away matches, with 11 goals scored and 6 conceded, against 15 points won at their stadium, with 13 goals scored and 3 conceded. For the league, Fiorentina won 15 points out of 18 possible points, after 5 wins and 1 loss in the last 6 home matches. Their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in all of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have been able to score first and have done so in 10 of the last 12 matches for the Serie A, they have reached half‑time in advantage in 8 of those 10 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 9 of them. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 9 home matches for all competitions: they have suffered 3 of their 7 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

In this match against Empoli, coach Paulo Sousa has all players available, so Fiorentina should be in full strength. We expect the home team to play in 3-4-3, as usual, privileging organized attacks and ball possession. It’s important to notice that Kalinic is in great shape and has scored 8 goals so far.

Confirmed Lineup: C. Tătărușanu, G. Rodríguez, N. Tomović, D. Astori, Marcos Alonso, Borja Valero, M. Fernández, Mario Suárez, M. Vecino, K. Babacar, A. Rebić.
Coach: Paulo Sousa.

Analysis of Empoli

The away team is currently in the 13th position of the league, with 14 points won, after 4 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Palermo, by (0‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Juventus, by (1‑3). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, with 7 goals scored and 9 conceded at home, against 6 goals scored and 9 conceded in away matches. In the last 6 away league matches Empoli has a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses, so they have won 7 points out of 18 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 12 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 7 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 4 of their 9 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

As the opponent, Empoli should play in its usual system, a 4-4-2, with Saponara in the organizing role. He should be responsible for organizing the team’s plays. Moreover, he is the best scorer of the team, with 4 goals scored so far. Like Paulo Sousa, coach Marco Giampaolo also has all players available.

Confirmed Lineup: Ł. Skorupski, L. Tonelli, V. Laurini, A. Costa, Mário Rui, P. Zieliński, L. Paredes, M. Büchel, R. Saponara, M. Livaja, M. Maccarone.
Coach: M. Giampaolo.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario is that Fiorentina will win. We believe they will win quite easily, since they have the home advantage and are going through a good moment. Moreover, Empoli doesn’t seem to have enough arguments to avoid losing.
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Serie A - 2015/2016

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 46.05%
  • Draws 25%
  • Away team wins 28.95%
  • Over 1.5 73.16%
  • Over 2.5 47.37%
  • Over 3.5 27.37%
  • Goals 979
  • Goals /match 2.58
  • Goals /match home 1.47
  • Goals /match away 1.11
  • Both teams score 51.05%
  • Goals after 80' 17.16%
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