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Crotone Milan betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This confrontation tends to be a bit unbalanced, considering that the client has a low quality cast and struggles to leave the relegation zone, while the visitor has a cast of good quality and fight for a spot in the next Europe League. In addition, Crotone have been struggling to score even as the club's top scorer and have won only 1 of the last 6 games in their home stadium, while Milan have performed well outside the house and lost only 1 of the last 6 games in this type of situation. In view of these factors, we believe that Milan will win the best squad, take advantage of Crotone's great weaknesses and win the 3 points away from their dominions.
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Preview
Crotone and Milan meet at Stadio Ezio Scida, in a match for the 34th round of the Serie A. Milan got a home win by (2‑1), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 04‑12‑2016. In 2 head‑to‑heads in the last 3 years, the away team won 1 and tied 1. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis Crotone

After 6 wins, 6 draws and 21 losses, the home team is in the 18th position, havinf won 24 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Sampdoria by (1‑2), after in the previous match they have tied (1‑1) an away match against Torino. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in away matches, with 11 goals scored and 27 conceded; against 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses at their stadium, with 15 goals scored and 20 conceded. For the league, Crotone won 11 points out of 30 possible points, after 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the last 10 home matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 33 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 20 times and have only turned the score around in 1. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 16 home matches for this competition: they have scored 6 of their 16 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Crotone has been showing poor performance in the Italian Championship and is among the last placed to take advantage of 24% of the points played so far and it is worth mentioning that it is 5 points behind Empoli, the first team outside the relegation zone, so they need to raise their production in this final stretch of the national to try to avoid a likely decline at the end of the season. The team scored 28 goals, being the third worst attack of the competition, and conceded 53 goals, having the sixth defense more leaked and these figures help explain the current poor performance, being necessary to adjust both the offensive system and the defense to try to leave of the uncomfortable situation in which they are. Playing at home, as this match on Sunday, Crotone has 31% and averages of 1 goal scored and 1.44 goals conceded, evidencing the great difficulty of scoring even as a principal, mainly because of the low offensive performance in this type of situation. Overall, taking into account home and away matches, the team tends to score more often in the second half as 17 of their 28 goals took place in the second stage, especially in the 75-90 minutes with 10 goals.

Confirmed Lineup: Alex Cordaz, Aleandro Rosi, Bruno Martella, Federico Ceccherini, Gianmarco Ferrari, Andrea Barberis, Marcus Rohdén, Lorenzo Crisetig, Andrea Nalini, Marcello Trotta, Diego Falcinelli.
Coach: L. Zauli.

Analysis Milan

The away team is currently in the 6th position of the league, with 58 points won, after 17 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Internazionale, by (2‑2). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Empoli, by (1‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 25 goals scored and 14 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Milan has a record of 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 13 points out of 30 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 33 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 13 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 16 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 8 of their 22 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Milan have been showing a reasonable performance in the Italian League and is in the top half of the qualifying table with 58% of the points played so far and it is worth mentioning that it is 5 points from the classification zone for the next Europe League, it is essential to raise their income in this final stretch of Series A to try to secure the continental competition next season. The team scored 50 goals, being the ninth best attack of the competition, and suffered 37 goals, having the fourth defense less leaked and these figures show a certain imbalance between the offensive and defensive sectors, being necessary to adjust in the attack to score more goals, already that the defense has behaved in a solid and efficient way. Playing away from home, as the match that will do this Sunday, Milan has 48% and averages of 1.38 goals scored and 1.31 goals conceded, showing some difficulty in scoring as a visitor. Overall, taking into account home and away matches, the team usually scores more in the second half, with 31 of their 50 goals coming in the second stage, especially in the final 15 minutes of 12 goals.

Confirmed Lineup: Gianluigi Donnarumma, Davide Calabria, Leonel Vangioni, Cristián Zapata, Gabriel Paletta, Manuel Locatelli, Juraj Kucka, Matías Fernández, Gianluca Lapadula, Suso, Gerard Deulofeu.
Coach: S. Pioli.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Crotone vs Milan match, on 30 April 2017, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Milan wins ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The Crotone vs Milan on 30 April 2017 will be played at Crotone, Stadio Ezio Scida.

 

Serie A - 2016/2017

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 48.42%
  • Draws 21.05%
  • Away team wins 30.53%
  • Over 1.5 78.95%
  • Over 2.5 58.16%
  • Over 3.5 33.68%
  • Goals 1123
  • Goals /match 2.96
  • Goals /match home 1.66
  • Goals /match away 1.29
  • Both teams score 57.37%
  • Goals after 80' 17.54%
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