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Carpi vs Juventus

Carpi
Carpi
  • 2 - 3
  • Played

Juventus

Preview:
Carpi and Juventus face at Stadio Alberto Braglia, in a match for the 17th round of the Serie A. These two teams have never met before, so this will be the first head‑to‑head between them. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis of Carpi

The home team is currently in the 19th position of the league, with 10 points won, after 2 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Milan, by (0‑0). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Empoli, by (3‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 1 draw and 10 losses in away matches, with 14 goals scored and 31 conceded; against 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 13 goals scored and 9 conceded. In their last match, for the Coppa Italia, they got an away win against Fiorentina by (0‑1). In the last 8 home league matches Carpi has a record of 1 win, 3 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 6 points out of 24 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 4 home matches. In their home matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 0‑0 (4 out of 8 matches) and after the 90' 0‑0 (3 out of 8 matches) and 1‑2 (3 out of 8 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 4 of the last 8 for this competition have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. They haven't been able to score the first goal. In fact, they have only opened up the score in 2 of the last 16 matches for the Serie A, they have reached half‑time in advantage in 1 of those 2 matches and have held on to the lead in 1. They have conceded the first goal in 11 of their 16 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1.

Carpi comes to this match after a 0-1 away win over Fiorentina, in a match for the Italian Cup. Their main quality is their ability to create many goal opportunities, however, they have had efficiency problems and didn’t score as many goals as they should have. They are aware of their weaknesses, so they usually privilege defensive consistency and like to counterattack. Young Kevin Lasagna is their main offensive reference.

Confirmed Lineup: V. Belec, S. Romagnoli, C. Zaccardo, R. Gagliolo, Gabriel Silva, G. Letizia, L. Lollo, I. Cofie, L. Marrone, M. Borriello, A. Di Gaudio.
Coach: F. Castori.

Analysis of Juventus

The away team is currently in the 4th position of the league, with 30 points won, after 9 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Lazio, by (0‑2). In the last match, they won in a home match against Fiorentina, by (3‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 19 goals scored and 16 conceded; against 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 10 conceded. In their last match, for the Coppa Italia, they got a home win against Torino by (4‑0). In the last 8 away league matches Juventus has a record of 4 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses, so they have won 13 points out of 24 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (3 out of 8 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times but have turned the score around in 3. In the last 12 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 4 of their 9 goals between minutes (16'‑30').

Juventus comes to this match after a comfortable 4-0 home win over Torino, in a match fir the Italian Cup. Their defence is known for its strength and efficiency, so they usually hold on to leads when they score the first goal. They prefer to attack using the wings and like controlling their matches through ball possession and short passes.

Confirmed Lineup: G. Buffon, L. Bonucci, A. Barzagli, P. Evra, G. Chiellini, S. Khedira, C. Marchisio, P. Pogba, M. Mandžukić, J. Cuadrado, P. Dybala.
Coach: M. Allegri.

Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario is that Juventus will win. Although Carpi has the home advantage, Juve has a much better squad and more arguments to win. Moreover, the home team is one of the weakest in the league, with only 10 points conquered in 16 rounds.
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Serie A - 2015/2016

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 46.05%
  • Draws 25%
  • Away team wins 28.95%
  • Over 1.5 73.16%
  • Over 2.5 47.37%
  • Over 3.5 27.37%
  • Goals 979
  • Goals /match 2.58
  • Goals /match home 1.47
  • Goals /match away 1.11
  • Both teams score 51.05%
  • Goals after 80' 17.16%
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