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Mainz 05 Bayern München betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this match will be for both teams to score at least one goal. It is true that the match should be more controlled by the visitors, however, the two teams usually provide attacking games, where goal opportunities arise quite easily. It should be noted that the “Both Teams to Score – Yes” market was the winner in the last four matches played by Mainz and in the last three official matches played by Bayern Munich. Thus, a very open match is expected, with goal situations on both sides.
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Preview
Mainz 05 and Bayern München meet at OPEL ARENA, in a match for this stage of the DFB Pokal (Round of 16). At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the away team, since they have a record of 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 30‑04‑2022, in a match for the Bundesliga, FSV Mainz 05 won by (3‑1). The goals of the match were scored by L. Barreiro (57' ), M. Niakhate (27' ) and J. Burkardt (18' ), for Mainz 05, and by R. Lewandowski (33' ), for Bayern München. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis Mainz 05

The home team comes to this stage of the DFB Pokal (Round of 16) after a away win by (0‑3) against VfB Lübeck. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses in away matches, with 26 goals scored and 25 conceded; against 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 23 goals scored and 23 conceded. In their last match, for the Bundesliga, they got a home win against VfL Bochum 1848 by (5‑2). In the last 10 home matches Mainz 05 has won 2, tied 4 and lost 4. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches. They have conceded the first goal in 5 of their 12 matches, and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 7 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 4 of their 9 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

Mainz comes for this match very motivated after a 5-2 home win against Bochum: Jae-sung Lee, Silvan Widmer and Karim Onisiwo scored the goals of this excellent victory. One of the main strengths of the home team is how they manage to regain ball possession and the pressure exerted is extremely effective. The home team usually plays in a 5-2-3, favoring a slower style of play. In this tactical formation, the three players responsible for launching panic in the opposing defense are Karim Onisiwo, Jae-sung Lee and Ludovic Ajorque. Coach Bo Svensson should not be able to count on Marlon Mustapha, Jonathan Burkardt, Delano Burgzorg and Robin Zenter as they are, at this stage, recovering from injury.

Confirmed Lineup: Finn Gilbert Dahmen, Andreas Hanche-Olsen, Aarón Martín, Anthony Caci, Silvan Widmer, Dominik Kohr, Anton Stach, Aymen Barkok, Leandro Barreiro, Edimilson Fernandes, Ludovic Ajorque.
Coach: B. Henriksen.

Analysis Bayern München

The away team comes to this stage of the DFB Pokal (Round of 16) after a away win by (2‑5) against FC Augsburg. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in away matches, with 48 goals scored and 15 conceded; against 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 43 goals scored and 15 conceded. In their last match, for the Bundesliga, they got a home tie against Eintracht Frankfurt by (1‑1). In the last 10 away matches Bayern München has won 7, tied 2 and lost 1. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 46 of the last 52 matches have ended with Over 1,5 goals and 37 out of 52 have ended with Over 2,5 goals. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 13 of the last 15 matches, they have reached half‑time in front in 12 of those 13 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 9 of them.

Bayern Munich comes for this match after a home draw, 1-1, against Frankfurt. The visiting team usually plays in a 4-3-3, being able to apply one of their greatest qualities, the quick transitions through the flanks. In this tactical formation, the three men responsible for occupying the most central area of the pitch will be Leroy Sané, Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting and Kingsley Coman. Apparently, coach Julian Nagelsmann should not be able to count on Sadio Mané, Leon Goretzka, Noussair Mazraoui, Lucas Hernández and Manuel Neuer because they are, at this stage, handed over to the medical department.

Confirmed Lineup: Yann Sommer, Joshua Kimmich, Benjamin Pavard, Matthijs De Ligt, Dayot Upamecano, João Cancelo, Kingsley Coman, Jamal Musiala, Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting, Leroy Sané, Thomas Müller.
Coach: T. Tuchel.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Mainz 05 vs Bayern München match, on 1 February 2023, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Both teams score? Yes ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The Mainz 05 vs Bayern München on 1 February 2023 will be played at Mainz, OPEL ARENA.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Online Betting Academy, for the Mainz 05 Bayern München match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Bayern München at with 90% of the tips.

 

DFB Pokal - 2022/2023

  • 100% 63 / 63 Games

  • Home team wins 31.75%
  • Draws 0%
  • Away team wins 68.25%
  • Over 1.5 82.54%
  • Over 2.5 58.73%
  • Over 3.5 36.51%
  • Goals 215
  • Goals /match 3.41
  • Goals /match home 1.02
  • Goals /match away 2.4
  • Both teams score 38.1%
  • Goals after 80' 23.26%
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