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Mainz 05 Borussia Dortmund betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this match will be for both teams to score at least one goal. It is true that the match should be balanced, however, the two emblems usually provide attacking games, where goal opportunities arise quite easily. It should be noted that the “Both Teams to Score – Yes” market was the winner in the last two matches played by Mainz and in four of the last six official Dortmund matches. Thus, a very open match is expected, with goal situations on both sides.
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Preview
Mainz 05 and Dortmund face at OPEL ARENA, in a match for the 17th round of the Bundesliga. The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 4. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Bundesliga, on 16‑03‑2022, Borussia Dortmund won by (0‑1). A. Witsel (87' ) scored the only goal of the match. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 10th and 7th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 17th best team in home matches and the 9th best in away matches.

Analysis Mainz 05

The home team is currently in the 10th position of the league, with 20 points won, after 5 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Eintracht Frankfurt, by (1‑1). In the last match, they tied in an away match against VfB Stuttgart, by (1‑1). Interestingly enough, this is a team that has had better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 13 points in away matches and only 7 at their stadium. In the last 7 home league matches Mainz 05 has a record of 1 win, 4 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 7 points out of 21 possible. The most recurrent final score in their home league matches was the 1‑1 (3 out of 7 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 8 of their 16 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 5 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 4 of their 7 goals between minutes (31'‑45').

Mainz comes for this match after an away draw, 1-1, against Stuttgart. One of the main strengths of the home team is how they manage to regain possession of the ball, and the pressure exerted is extremely effective. The home team usually plays in a 5-2-3, favoring a slower style of play. In this tactical formation, the three players responsible for launching panic in the opposing defense are Karim Onisiwo, Marcus Ing. Coach Bo Svensson should not be able to count on Marlon Mustapha, Jonathan Burkardt and Delano Burgzorg as they are, at this moment, handed over to the medical department. It should be noted that central defender Stefan Bell will also be out due to the accumulation of yellow cards.

Confirmed Lineup: Finn Gilbert Dahmen, Aarón Martín, Andreas Hanche-Olsen, Silvan Widmer, Anthony Caci, Aymen Barkok, Edimilson Fernandes, Jae-Sung Lee, Leandro Barreiro, Marcus Ingvartsen, Karim Onisiwo.
Coach: B. Svensson.

Analysis Dortmund

The away team is currently in the 7th position of the league, with 25 points won, after 9 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Borussia Mönchengladbach, by (4‑2). In the last match, they won in a home match against FC Augsburg, by (4‑3). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 9 points in away matches and 16 points at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 8 goals conceded at home, against 10 goals scored and 16 conceded in away matches. In the last 8 away league matches Dortmund has a record of 3 wins and 5 losses, so they have won 9 points out of 24 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

Dortmund comes motivated for this match after a 4-3 home win against Augsburg: Jude Bellingham, Nico Schlotterbeck and Jamie Bynoe-Gittens signed the winning goals. Contrary to the "enemy" of this round, the away team should play in a in 4-3-3, with the aim of taking advantage of the progression on the pitch through short passes. In this tactical formation, the three men who will launch panic in the “enemy” defense should be Jude Bellingham, Emre Can and Julian Brandt. Thus, it's foreseeable that Dortmund will adopt a more offensive posture, taking into account that it has a squad of superior quality. The Dortmund coach will not be able to count on Abdoulaye Kamara and Thomas Meunier as they are, at this stage, recovering from injury.

Confirmed Lineup: Gregor Kobel, Raphaël Guerreiro, Julian Ryerson, Nico Schlotterbeck, Niklas Süle, Salih Özcan, Emre Can, Karim Adeyemi, Donyell Malen, Youssoufa Moukoko, Julian Brandt.
Coach: E. Terzic.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Mainz 05 vs Dortmund match, on 25 January 2023, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Both teams score? Yes ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Mainz 05 vs Dortmund on 25 January 2023 will be played at Mainz, OPEL ARENA.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Online Betting Academy, for the Mainz 05 Dortmund match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Dortmund at with 80% of the tips.

 

Bundesliga - 2022/2023

  • 53% 162 / 306 Games

  • Home team wins 46.3%
  • Draws 23.46%
  • Away team wins 30.25%
  • Over 1.5 85.19%
  • Over 2.5 61.11%
  • Over 3.5 41.98%
  • Goals 529
  • Goals /match 3.27
  • Goals /match home 1.86
  • Goals /match away 1.4
  • Both teams score 59.26%
  • Goals after 80' 16.45%
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