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Stuttgart vs Wolfsburg

  • 3 - 1
  • Played


Stuttgart and Wolfsburg face at Mercedes‑Benz‑Arena, in a match for the 17th round of the Bundesliga. The head‑to‑head record at this stadium favours the away team, since in the last 5 head‑to‑heads they won 3, tied 1 and lost 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Bundesliga, on 01‑11‑2014, Wolfsburg won by (0‑4). I. Perišić (15' and 88' ), R. Knoche (45' ) and K. De Bruyne (48' ) scored the goals of the match for Wolfsburg. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 18th and 4th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 15th best team in home matches and the 17th best in away matches.

Analysis of Stuttgart

The home team is currently in the 18th position of the league, with 12 points won, after 3 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Werder Bremen, by (1‑1). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Mainz 05, by (0‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since they have won 5 points in away matches, with 12 goals scored and 20 conceded, against 7 points won at their stadium, with 7 goals scored and 16 conceded. They come to this match after a home win against Eintracht Braunschweig by (3‑2), after extended time. For the league, Stuttgart won 7 points out of 24 possible points, after 2 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in the last 8 home matches. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (4 out of 8 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and have only turned the score around in 1. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 11 home matches for all competitions: they have scored 5 of their 12 goals between minutes (31'‑45').

Stuttgart likes to control the tempo at the opposite midfield with a paused and thinked style of play, instead of quick transitions. Anyway, when they have chances to counter attack they don't waste them. One of their biggest problems is the defence because they really have difficulties to sustain their enemies counter attacks.

Confirmed Lineup: P. Tytoń, G. Niedermeier, D. Schwaab, T. Šunjić, E. Insúa, F. Klein, L. Rupp, D. Didavi, F. Kostić, C. Gentner, T. Werner.
Coach: J. Kramny.

Analysis of Wolfsburg

The away team is currently in the 4th position of the league, with 26 points won, after 7 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Borussia Dortmund, by (1‑2). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Hamburger SV, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 6 points in away matches and 20 points at their stadium, with 22 goals scored and 8 goals conceded at home, against 3 goals scored and 10 conceded in away matches. Their last away match for this competition ended in a draw by (0‑0) against Augsburg. In the last 7 away league matches Wolfsburg has a record of 1 win, 3 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 6 points out of 21 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (4 out of 7 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 13 away matches for all competitions there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 4 of their 10 goals between minutes (76'‑90'); they have conceded 8 of their 16 goals between minutes (46'‑60').

Wolfsburg comes to this match after an home draw against Hamburger. They were lossing until minute 78 but Arnold managed to equalise the match. They are a team that defend very well set pieces thanks to the power of his central defenders Naldo and Dante. Their offensive style of play depends of their ball possession capacity  that allows them to progress at the field with short passes. Everytime they can, Wolfsburg attacks throw the right flank to explore the quality of his right back Trasch. 

Confirmed Lineup: D. Benaglio, C. Träsch, M. Schäfer, T. Klose, Naldo, J. Guilavogui, J. Draxler, A. Schürrle, M. Arnold, D. Caligiuri, M. Kruse.
Coach: D. Hecking.

Betting suggestion:

We are not expecting Stuttgart to win this. We know they play at home in front of their fans but the head-to-head plays at visitors favour. At the moment, the home team is at a awful form which is not he case of Wolfsburg. 

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Bundesliga - 2015/2016

  • 100% 306 / 306 Games

  • Home team wins 44.12%
  • Draws 23.2%
  • Away team wins 32.68%
  • Over 1.5 77.45%
  • Over 2.5 55.88%
  • Over 3.5 33.99%
  • Goals 866
  • Goals /match 2.83
  • Goals /match home 1.57
  • Goals /match away 1.26
  • Both teams score 54.58%
  • Goals after 80' 15.47%
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