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Stuttgart Mainz 05 betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this match is the occurrence of a maximum of 2 goals. Stuttgart have the Bundesliga's worst attack with only 12 goals scored in 17 rounds and it is the team that scored the least goals in the home matches. Mainz, on the other hand, tends to act very closed away from home, have the seventh less leaked defense in this type of situation and should make it difficult for the opponent to score goals. Given these factors, we believe in a closed game, with few opportunities and a maximum of 2 goals on the scoreboard, and if there are 3, the investment will be returned.
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Preview
Stuttgart and Mainz 05 face at Mercedes‑Benz‑Arena, in a match for the 18th round of the Bundesliga. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 26‑08‑2018, Mainz 05 got a home win by (1‑0). At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history indicates total balance between these two teams, since there is a record of 2 wins for each team in the last 4 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium was on 26‑08‑2017, in a match for the Bundesliga, Stuttgart won by (1‑0). The only goal of the match was scored by H. Badstuber (53' ). In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis Stuttgart

The home team is currently in the 16th position of the league, with 14 points won, after 4 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Wolfsburg, by (2‑0). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Schalke 04, by (1‑3). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 20 goals scored and 29 conceded; against 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 20 goals scored and 22 conceded. They come to this match after a away draw against Cercle Brugge by (2‑2). For the league, Stuttgart won 10 points out of 24 possible points, after 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 8 home matches. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑1 (3 out of 8 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 6 of the last 8 for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 3 of the last 17 matches for the Bundesliga, they have reached half‑time in front in 2 of those 3 matches and held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in all of them. In 17 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 13 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

Sttutgart have been making a bad campaign in the Bundesliga, having lost their last 2 games and seek recovery, as they are in the relegation playoff zone. The team has serious problems in both the offensive and defensive sectors, since it has scored only 12 goals, being the worst attack of the championship, and has suffered 35 goals, having the second most leaked defense and these figures help explaining the very low yield so far. 
Considering the home matches, as this one on Saturday, Stuttgart have been quite irregular, so much so that they registered 3 wins and 3 losses in the last 6 matches and it is worth mentioning that it is the team that scored the least goals and the second most leaked, evidencing the difficulty of achieving good performances in this type of situation. 
For the game against Mainz, coach Winzierl has no problems in the team considered holder and goes to the field with the best.

Analysis Mainz 05

The away team is currently in the 12th position of the league, with 21 points won, after 5 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Eintracht Frankfurt, by (2‑2). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Hoffenheim, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 27 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 23 goals scored and 15 conceded. In their last match, for the Club Friendlies, they got a home loss against Standard Liège by (2‑3). In the last 8 away league matches Mainz 05 has a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, so they have won 8 points out of 24 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 5 of the last 8 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 17 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

Mainz have been campaigning lower than expected in the Bundesliga, they are in poor shape, having not won for 4 games where they have registered 3 draws and 1 defeat and seek recovery to try to move away from the relegation zone. The team has a good quality defense that conceded only 22 goals and is the fifth less leaked of the championship, but its attack, on the other hand, only scored 17 goals and is the third worst of the competition, evidencing the imbalance between the two sectors, being a team that plays very closed, but because of this, ends up creating little. 
Considering the away matches, such as this one on Saturday, Mainz have been rather irregular, but scored goals in 5 of the last 5 matches in this type of situation, since they can have more spaces for the counterattack away from home. 
For the game against Stuttgart, coach Schwarz has no problems with injuries or suspensions and goes to the field with maximum strength.
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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Stuttgart vs Mainz 05 match, on 19 January 2019, of the preview written by the editors of Online Betting Academy, goes to: Under 3 goals ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The Stuttgart vs Mainz 05 on 19 January 2019 will be played at Stuttgart, Mercedes-Benz Arena.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Online Betting Academy, for the Stuttgart Mainz 05 match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Mainz 05 at with 38% of the tips.

 

Bundesliga - 2018/2019

  • 100% 306 / 306 Games

  • Home team wins 45.1%
  • Draws 23.86%
  • Away team wins 31.05%
  • Over 1.5 84.64%
  • Over 2.5 62.42%
  • Over 3.5 39.87%
  • Goals 973
  • Goals /match 3.18
  • Goals /match home 1.79
  • Goals /match away 1.39
  • Both teams score 59.48%
  • Goals after 80' 8.22%
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